| Baseline | Follow-up | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | Model 1b | Model 2b | Model 3b | Model 4b | Model 1b | Model 2a | Model 3b | Model 4b |
ORa (95Â % CI) | ORa (95Â % CI) | ORa (95Â % CI) | ORa (95Â % CI) | ORa (95Â % CI) | ORa (95Â % CI) | ORa (95Â % CI) | ORa (95Â % CI) | |
Neighbourhood-level variables | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Neighbourhood social capital | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
   Low social capital    (1st tertile) | 1.33 (1.01;1.77) | 1.26 (0.96;1.67) | 1.32 (0.99;1.75) | 1.25 (0.91;1.72) | 1.21 (0.89;1.64) | 1.19 (0.88;1.61) | 1.21 (0.89;1.64) | 1.35 (0.97;1.90) |
   Moderate social capital    (2nd tertile) | 1.07 (0.79;1.44) | 1.03 (0.77;1.38) | 1.05 (0.78;1.40) | 1.00 (0.73;1.36) | 0.98 (0.71;1.35) | 0.99 (0.72;1.36) | 1.02 (0.74;1.41) | 1.18 (0.86;1.62) |
Social class | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
   Low social class    (1st tertile) | 1.17 (0.88;1.55) |  |  |  | 1.45 (1.05;2.01) | 1.57 (1.16;2.12) | 1.55 (1.15;2.10) | 1.51 (1.11;2.07) |
   Moderate social class    (2nd tertile) | 0.89 (0.66;1.20) |  |  |  | 1.21 (0.89;1.64) | 1.41 (1.03;1.94) | 1.42 (1.03;1.97) | 1.36 (0.97;1.90) |
Individual-level variables | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Individual Social Capital | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
   Social support    (per 10 points) |  | 0.84 (0.77;0.90) | 0.84 (0.78;0.91) | 0.84 (0.77;0.90) |  | 0.89 (0.82;0.96) | 0.90 (0.84;0.98) | 0.89 (0.82;0.96) |
Social network | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
   0–1 relatives |  | 1.29 (0.97;1.60) |  |  |  | 1.26 (0.98;1.63) |  |  |
   Social network |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
   0–1 friends |  | 1.11 (0.84;1.46) |  |  |  |  |  |  |
Socioeconomic variables | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Marital status | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
   Has a partner, not living    with him |  |  | 1.19 (0.90;1.58) | 1.12 (0.84;1.51) |  |  | 1.21 (0.89;1.66) | 1.11 (0.81;1.51) |
   Single without partner |  |  | 1.95 (1.16;3.28) | 1.87 (1.11;3.13) |  |  | 2.28 (1.36;3.83) | 2.30 (1.36;3.86) |
Family income | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
    < 1 BMWc |  |  | 0.94 (0.72;1.23) |  |  |  | 1.27 (0.96;1.67) |  |
Years of schooling | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
   0–4 years |  |  | 1.76 (1.22;2.55) | 1.85 (1.26;2.71) |  |  | 1.80 (1.20;2.70) | 2.16 (1.50;3.18) |
   5–8 years |  |  | 1.64 (1.27;2.13) | 1.64 (1.26;2.13) |  |  | 1.68 (1.27;2.22) | 1.81 (1.37;2.39) |
Number of children | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
2 children | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | 1.06 (0.78;1.44) | Â |
3 or more children | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | 1.22 (0.86;1.72) | Â |
Occupational context | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
   Without paid work |  |  | 1.49 (1.16;1.91) | 1.43 (1.11;1.83) |  |  | 1.18 (0.91;1.53) |  |
Demographic variables | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
   Age |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
   13–19 |  |  |  | 1.40 (0.94;2.10) |  |  |  | 1.59 (1.05;2.41) |
   20–30 |  |  |  | 1.28 (0.94;1.76) |  |  |  | 1.45 (1.04;2.03) |
Ethnicity | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
   Brown |  |  |  | 1.18 (0.90;1.55) |  |  |  | 1.47 (1.10;1.97) |
   Black |  |  |  | 1.24 (0.90;1.71) |  |  |  | 1.66 (1.19;2.33) |