Spring transition | Autumn transition | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 days | 1 week | 3 days | 1 week | |||||
Model description | RR | [95 % CIs] | RR | [95 % CIs] | RR | [95 % CIs] | RR | [95 % CIs] |
Unadjusted model, whole year | 1.103 | [0.979;1.243] | 1.110 | [1.014;1.215] | 0.940 | [0.826;1.069] | 0.996 | [0.906;1.096] |
Unadjusted model, reduced to months around time shifta | 1.065 | [0.946;1.199] | 1.074 | [0.980;1.178] | 0.969 | [0.850;1.104] | 1.030 | [0.934;1.136] |
Main confounder model, whole yearb | 1.071 | [0.948;1.209] | 1.081 | [0.985;1.185] | 0.947 | [0.833;1.078] | 1.004 | [0.913;1.105] |
Main confounder model, reduced to months around time shifta,b | 1.080 | [0.954;1.222] | 1.069 | [0.973;1.174] | 0.984 | [0.862;1.124] | 1.038 | [0.94;1.145] |
Optimized confounder model for months around time shiftc | 1.102 | [0.972;1.250] | 1.077 | [0.981;1.182] | 0.981 | [0.858;1.121] | 1.025 | [0.928;1.133] |
S1: Year as categorical variable instead of trend | 1.072 | [0.949;1.211] | 1.082 | [0.987;1.187] | 0.947 | [0.832;1.078] | 1.004 | [0.912;1.104] |
S2: Trend as p-spline | 1.070 | [0.948;1.209] | 1.08 | [0.985;1.185] | 0.947 | [0.832;1.078] | 1.004 | [0.913;1.105] |
S3: Trend and meteorology as p-spline | 1.070 | [0.947;1.209] | 1.079 | [0.984;1.184] | 0.946 | [0.831;1.076] | 1.003 | [0.912;1.103] |
S4a: Trend and meteorology as p-spline, indicators for month and holiday | 1.071 | [0.943;1.216] | 1.071 | [0.972;1.181] | 0.969 | [0.849;1.106] | 1.029 | [0.931;1.136] |
S4b: Trend and meteorology as p-spline, indicators for month and holiday, reduced to months around time shifta | 1.097 | [0.966;1.246] | 1.072 | [0.975;1.18] | 0.968 | [0.847;1.108] | 1.019 | [0.921;1.127] |