Table 6 The winning ratio of EPM versus AVG for the prediction of all diseases indicators for eight weeks in seven areas
Taipei area | Northern area | Central area | Southern area | Kaohsiung-Pingtung area | Eastern area | Nationwide area | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Target week | 65.2 % | 69.7 % | 63.9 % | 61.3 % | 66.5 % | 51.6 % | 74.2 % |
1 week in advance | 58.7 % | 60.0 % | 61.3 % | 54.8 % | 42.6 % | 43.2 % | 67.7 % |
2 weeks in advance | 57.3 % | 58.7 % | 56.7 % | 52.0 % | 44.0 % | 43.3 % | 68.7 % |
3 weeks in advance | 58.6 % | 59.3 % | 53.1 % | 50.3 % | 40.7 % | 42.1 % | 66.9 % |
4 weeks in advance | 59.3 % | 58.6 % | 52.1 % | 50.7 % | 40.7 % | 41.4 % | 66.4 % |
5 weeks in advance | 62.2 % | 58.5 % | 53.3 % | 48.1 % | 40.7 % | 37.8 % | 65.2 % |
6 weeks in advance | 56.2 % | 55.4 % | 51.5 % | 49.2 % | 38.5 % | 40.0 % | 63.1 % |
7 weeks in advance | 49.6 % | 52.0 % | 46.4 % | 45.6 % | 42.4 % | 36.0 % | 55.2 % |
Average | 58.6 % | 59.3 % | 55.2 % | 51.8 % | 44.8 % | 42.2 % | 66.3 % |