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Table 4 Prediction error of EPM and AVG for five diseases indicators

From: Using prediction markets of market scoring rule to forecast infectious diseases: a case study in Taiwan

Indicator

EPM

AVG

Confirmed cases of severe complicated influenza case

11.955

18.206

Confirmed cases of dengue fever

18.131

16.509

Confirmed cases of severe complicated enterovirus infection

1.172

2.935

Rate of enterovirus infection

0.00184

0.00411

Rate of influenza-like illness

0.0104

0.0132