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Table 4 Prediction error of EPM and AVG for five diseases indicators

From: Using prediction markets of market scoring rule to forecast infectious diseases: a case study in Taiwan

Indicator EPM AVG
Confirmed cases of severe complicated influenza case 11.955 18.206
Confirmed cases of dengue fever 18.131 16.509
Confirmed cases of severe complicated enterovirus infection 1.172 2.935
Rate of enterovirus infection 0.00184 0.00411
Rate of influenza-like illness 0.0104 0.0132