Table 7 Province-specific models for the incidences of dengue cases, fitted from 1996-2004 data.
From: Effects of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation on dengue epidemics in Thailand, 1996-2005
Province | Variable | Regression coefficient | Standard error | R2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1. Petchaburi | Constant | -10.933 | 1.351 | 0.72 |
ln(Population) | 1 | (offset) | ||
ln(Case Lag1/Pop Lag1) | 0.351 | 0.007 | ||
Rh Lag3 | -0.016 | 0.007 | ||
Tmean Lag1 | 0.051 | 0.013 | ||
MEI Lag2 | 0.088 | 0.038 | ||
MEI Lag5 | -0.110 | 0.037 | ||
sin12 | 0.098 | 0.039 | ||
2. Prachuap Khirikhan | Constant | -7.553 | 0.255 | 0.83 |
ln(Population) | 1 | (offset) | ||
ln(Case Lag1/Pop Lag1) | 0.393 | 0.027 | ||
MEI Lag2 | 0.226 | 0.064 | ||
MEI Lag3 | -0.184 | 0.064 | ||
cos12 | -0.150 | 0.032 | ||
sin12 | 0.069 | 0.033 | ||
3. Chumpon | Constant | -5.915 | 0.831 | 0.81 |
ln(Population) | 1 | (offset) | ||
ln(Case Lag1/Pop Lag1) | 0.324 | 0.035 | ||
Rh Lag3 | -0.029 | 0.010 | ||
MEI Lag6 | 0.088 | 0.030 | ||
cos12 | -0.189 | 0.054 | ||
sin12 | 0.094 | 0.046 | ||
4. Surat Thani | Constant | -5.621 | 0.493 | 0.84 |
ln(Population) | 1 | (offset) | ||
ln(Case Lag1/Pop Lag1) | 0.426 | 0.023 | ||
Rh Lag3 | -0.024 | 0.006 | ||
cos12 | -0.081 | 0.038 | ||
sin12 | 0.093 | 0.036 | ||
5. Nakhon Sithammarat | Constant | -3.147 | 0.693 | 0.93 |
ln(Population) | 1 | (offset) | ||
ln(Case Lag1/Pop Lag1) | 0.443 | 0.017 | ||
Rh Lag3 | -0.029 | 0.008 | ||
Rh Lag4 | -0.028 | 0.009 | ||
cos12 | -0.191 | 0.035 | ||
sin12 | 0.243 | 0.049 | ||
6. Chaingmai | Constant | -11.158 | 1.023 | 0.89 |
ln(Population) | 1 | (offset) | ||
ln(Case Lag1/Pop Lag1) | 0.326 | 0.022 | ||
Tmean Lag2 | 0.026 | 0.011 | ||
MEI Lag1 | 0.124 | 0.027 | ||
cos12 | -0.503 | 0.052 | ||
7. Lamphun | Constant | -16.343 | 2.193 | 0.79 |
ln(Population) | 1 | (offset) | ||
ln(Case Lag1/Pop Lag1) | 0.304 | 0.043 | ||
Rh Lag5 | 0.011 | 0.005 | ||
Tmean Lag1 | 0.045 | 0.017 | ||
Tmean Lag3 | 0.042 | 0.015 | ||
MEI Lag1 | 0.127 | 0.041 | ||
cos12 | -0.364 | 0.091 | ||
8. Lamphang | Constant | -10.794 | 0.994 | 0.88 |
ln(Population) | 1 | (offset) | ||
ln(Case Lag1/Pop Lag1) | 0.340 | 0.032 | ||
Tmean Lag2 | 0.029 | 0.011 | ||
MEI Lag1 | 0.118 | 0.030 | ||
cos12 | -0.395 | 0.066 | ||
sin12 | 0.189 | 0.071 | ||
9. Phrae | Constant | -7.623 | 0.342 | 0.84 |
ln(Population) | 1 | (offset) | ||
ln(Case Lag1/Pop Lag1) | 0.402 | 0.033 | ||
MEI Lag2 | 0.307 | 0.088 | ||
MEI Lag3 | -0.236 | 0.086 | ||
cos12 | -0.417 | 0.067 | ||
sin12 | 0.257 | 0.063 | ||
10. Nan | Constant | -14.249 | 1.712 | 0.81 |
ln(Population) | 1 | (offset) | ||
ln(Case Lag1/Pop Lag1) | 0.243 | 0.033 | ||
Tmean Lag1 | 0.059 | 0.019 | ||
MEI Lag1 | 0.208 | 0.039 | ||
cos12 | -0.472 | 0.094 | ||
11. Phayao | Constant | -8.137 | 0.538 | 0.89 |
ln(Population) | 1 | (offset) | ||
ln(Case Lag1/Pop Lag1) | 0.296 | 0.041 | ||
Rh Lag6 | -0.012 | 0.005 | ||
MEI Lag2 | 0.199 | 0.042 | ||
cos12 | -0.762 | 0.076 | ||
sin12 | 0.250 | 0.106 | ||
12. Chaingrai | Constant | -17.189 | 1.954 | 0.90 |
ln(Population) | 1 | (offset) | ||
ln(Case Lag1/Pop Lag1) | 0.359 | 0.035 | ||
Tmean Lag1 | 0.072 | 0.020 | ||
Tmean Lag2 | 0.039 | 0.019 | ||
MEI Lag1 | 0.127 | 0.035 | ||
cos12 | -0.283 | 0.089 | ||
sin12 | 0.395 | 0.113 | ||
13. Maehongson | Constant | -16.716 | 1.614 | 0.67 |
ln(Population) | 1 | (offset) | ||
ln(Case Lag1/Pop Lag1) | 0.405 | 0.060 | ||
Rh Lag5 | -0.022 | 0.008 | ||
Rh Lag6 | 0.023 | 0.008 | ||
Tmean Lag1 | 0.115 | 0.019 |