From: Effects of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation on dengue epidemics in Thailand, 1996-2005
Region/Time-lag (months) | ENSO indices | Local climate parameters | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MEI | SLP | Tmax | Tmean | Tmin | Rh | WDSP | |
In the five southern coastal provinces | |||||||
Lag 1 | 0.29* | -0.05* | 0.14* | 0.20* | 0.13* | NS | NS |
Lag 2 | 0.36* | -0.07* | 0.17* | 0.21* | 0.11* | NS | NS |
Lag 3 | 0.41* | -0.10* | 0.19* | 0.22* | 0.09* | -0.05* | NS |
Lag 4 | 0.42* | -0.13* | 0.18* | 0.21* | 0.07* | -0.07* | NS |
Lag 5 | 0.41* | -0.15* | 0.15* | 0.18* | 0.06* | -0.06* | NS |
Lag 6 | 0.38* | -0.17* | 0.11* | 0.16* | 0.08* | -0.04* | NS |
Lag 7 | 0.34* | -0.16* | 0.07* | 0.13* | 0.09* | NS | NS |
Lag 8 | 0.29* | -0.13* | NS | 0.07* | 0.07* | NS | NS |
Lag 9 | 0.26* | -0.11* | NS | NS | NS | NS | NS |
Lag 10 | 0.22* | -0.09* | NS | NS | NS | NS | NS |
Lag 11 | 0.18* | -0.06* | -0.05* | -0.07* | NS | NS | NS |
Lag 12 | 0.13* | NS | -0.06* | -0.10* | -0.06* | 0.03* | NS |
In the eight northern mountainous provinces | |||||||
Lag 1 | 0.58* | -0.19* | 0.09* | 0.09* | 0.08* | NS | NS |
Lag 2 | 0.61* | -0.22* | 0.09* | 0.11* | 0.09* | -0.02* | NS |
Lag 3 | 0.61* | -0.25* | 0.10* | 0.09* | 0.06* | -0.04* | NS |
Lag 4 | 0.57* | -0.23* | 0.07* | 0.04* | NS | -0.04* | NS |
Lag 5 | 0.55* | -0.22* | 0.04* | NS | -0.03* | -0.03* | -0.09* |
Lag 6 | 0.53* | -0.21* | NS | NS | -0.04* | -0.03* | -0.13* |
Lag 7 | 0.52* | -0.20* | 0.05* | NS | NS | -0.04* | -0.13* |
Lag 8 | 0.49* | -0.18* | 0.04* | NS | NS | -0.03* | NS |
Lag 9 | 0.46* | -0.18* | NS | NS | NS | -0.02* | NS |
Lag 10 | 0.40* | -0.16* | 0.01* | NS | NS | NS | NS |
Lag 11 | 0.33* | -0.12* | NS | NS | NS | NS | NS |
Lag 12 | 0.25* | -0.17* | NS | NS | NS | -0.40* | 0.09* |