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Table 1 Characteristics of baseline epidemics

From: Simulation suggests that rapid activation of social distancing can arrest epidemic development due to a novel strain of influenza

Characteristic R0
  1.5 2.5 3.5
  Mean S.D. mean S.D. mean S.D
Final infection rate (%) 39.7 1.47 79.7 0.52 91.2 0.24
Final attack rate (%) 33.3 1.2 64.8 0.41 73.2 0.29
Peak symptomatic population (%) 4.8 0.41 25.7 0.55 43.0 0.71
Peak daily attack rate (per 10,000) 87 8 481 21 856 32
Peak attack day 57 5.6 29 2.0 20. 1.7
Serial interval 2.97 0.01 2.74 0.01 2.45 0.01
  1. This table gives characteristics of simulated baseline epidemics (that is, epidemics where no intervention measures were applied) with R0 values of 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5. The mean and standard deviation (S.D.) are for 40 independent randomly seeded simulation runes.