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Table 2 Effect of predictors.

From: Sick-leave track record and other potential predictors of a disability pension. A population based study of 8,218 men and women followed for 16 years

  Women Men
  OR 99.5%CI Chi-square OR 99.5%CI Chi-square
Single sickness spell duration       
   Duration by 10 day-periods 1.08 1.08–1.09 1191.8 1.08 1.07–1.09 836.0
   Age by 10-year age groups 3.35 2.59–4.34 174.2 3.73 2.80–4.98 165.4
   Calendar time period     1   
1986–1992 vs 1999–2001 0.14 0.08–0.25 219.1 0.23 0.10–0.51 98.9
1993–1998 vs 1999–2001 1.37 0.77–2.45 83.5 1.72 0.78–3.82 52.1
   Educational level 0.76 0.64–0.90 21.1 0.82 0.67–1.00 7.7
   Married 1.43 0.92–2.22 5.2 0.75 0.46–1.22 2.8
   Household size 1.00 0.82–1.21 0.001 0.88 0.72–1.06 3.8
   Smokers 1.09 0.78–1.53 0.5 1.04 0.70–1.53 0.06
   Gothenburg versus Uppsala 0.86 0.57–1.29 1.1 0.77 0.50–1.19 0.8
   Eskilstuna versus Uppsala - - - 0.43 0.21–0.87 8.3
Cumulative annual sick leave days       
   Sick leave days by 10-day periods 1.16 1.14–1.17 1808.3 1.16 1.15–1.17 1473.0
   Age by 10-year age groups 2.33 1.86–2.92 112.2 2.70 2.10–3.46 127.2
   Calendar time period       
1986–1992 vs 1999–2001 0.52 0.32–0.86 42.4 0.92 0.47–1.78 5.6
1993–1998 vs 1999–2001 1.38 0.84–2.28 27.6 1.70 0.87–3.34 13.8
   Educational level 0.84 0.72–0.97 11.6 0.87 0.73–1.02 5.8
   Married 1.35 0.91–2.01 4.5 0.82 0.53–1.28 1.6
   Household size 0.98 0.83–1.16 0.1 0.89 0.76–1.04 4.4
   Smokers 1.19 0.88–1.61 2.5 1.17 0.82–1.65 1.5
   Gothenburg versus Uppsala 0.88 0.60–1.29 0.9 0.80 0.53–1.21 0.8
   Eskilstuna versus Uppsala    - 0.48 0.29–0.80 11.8
  1. Effects of possible predictors for the probability of being granted a disability pension during the study follow-up time. In the two logistic regression models disability pensioner-to-be (yes/no) was used as dependent variable and the listed variables as independent variables.