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Table 5 Performance of the simplified risk score for the identification of newly detected diabetes mellitusa

From: Prevalence of diabetes mellitus and the performance of a risk score among Hindustani Surinamese, African Surinamese and ethnic Dutch: a cross-sectional population-based study

  

AUC (bCI)

Sens (%)

Screen (%)

Prev (%)

NNS new

Hindustani Surinamese

0.58 (0.49–0.70)

 

Total population

   

6.0

 
 

≥ 5 points

 

94.4

97.3

6.6

16

 

≥ 8 points

 

94.4

80.7

8.0

13

 

≥ 11 points

 

38.9

42.0

6.3

16

African Surinamese

0.79 (0.70–0.89)

 

Total population

   

3.1

 
 

≥ 5 points

 

93.8

86.8

3.3

31

 

≥ 8 points

 

87.5

58.9

4.5

22

 

≥ 11 points

 

81.3

25.8

9.6

11

Ethnic Dutch

0.77 (0.68–0.85)

 

Total population

   

3.1

 
 

≥ 5 points

 

100

56.2

5.5

19

 

≥ 8 points

 

64.3

24.9

8.0

13

 

≥ 11 points

 

14.3

6.4

6.9

15

  1. a Persons with known DM were excluded from the analysis. Simplified score is presented in additional file 1: Risk score for DM SUNSET.pdf. Cut off values (number of points) chosen based on the 20–50–75 percentiles in the total population.
  2. DM = diabetes mellitus (fasting plasma glucose ≥ 7.0 mmol/l and/or self-reported), sens = sensitivity of the criteria at the given cut-off, screen = percentage of the total population that is screened at the given cut-off, prev = prevalence in the screened population (the predictive value positive), NNSnew = number needed to identify a case of newly detected DM, i.e. a previously undiagnosed case of DM in this study, AUC = area under the curve, a measure of diagnostic accuracy, bCI = 'confidence interval' estimated via a bootstrapping procedure [20], the 2.5 and 97.5 percentiles are listed between brackets.