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Table 2 Outcomes* by Baseline State by Cohort

From: The effect of different public health interventions on longevity, morbidity, and years of healthy life

  All Healthy at Baseline All Sick at Baseline US Distribution at Baseline **
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Intervention YHL YSL YOL YHL YSL YOL YHL YSL YOL
  Birth Cohort
Status Quo 67.87 9.51 77.38 64.52 9.94 74.46 67.80 9.52 77.33
One-Shot 67.87 9.51 77.38 67.87 9.51 77.38 67.87 9.51 77.38
HP/DP 68.97 8.81 77.78 65.57 9.27 74.84 68.90 8.82 77.72
Treatment 68.72 8.96 77.69 65.55 9.31 74.86 68.66 8.97 77.63
ICU 68.20 9.77 77.97 65.09 10.23 75.32 68.14 9.78 77.92
Safety 68.24 9.63 77.87 64.87 10.06 74.92 68.17 9.64 77.81
HP/DP+One-Shot 68.97 8.81 77.78 68.97 8.81 77.78 68.97 8.81 77.78
HP/DP+ICU 69.29 9.05 78.34 66.13 9.54 75.67 69.22 9.06 78.28
  Retiree Cohort
Status Quo 13.12 4.28 17.40 10.44 5.45 15.90 12.58 4.52 17.10
One-Shot 13.12 4.28 17.40 13.12 4.28 17.40 13.12 4.28 17.40
HP/DP 13.62 4.02 17.64 10.84 5.24 16.09 13.07 4.26 17.33
Treatment 13.43 4.12 17.55 10.94 5.20 16.14 12.93 4.34 17.27
ICU 13.30 4.50 17.79 10.71 5.71 16.43 12.78 4.74 17.52
Safety 13.36 4.38 17.74 10.64 5.53 16.17 12.82 4.61 17.43
HP/DP+One-Shot 13.62 4.02 17.64 13.62 4.02 17.64 13.62 4.02 17.64
HP/DP+ICU 13.80 4.22 18.01 11.12 5.49 16.60 13.26 4.47 17.73
  1. * Years of healthy life, years of sick life, and Years of life due to a 10% improvement (α = .10) using the listed intervention. For One-Shot, the intervention makes everyone healthy at baseline (λ= 1.0 and α is irrelevant). For HP/DP+One-Shot, everyone is healthy at baseline and α = .10 for the HP/DP intervention).
  2. ** U.S. distribution at baseline is assumed to be 98% healthy at birth (π = .98) and 80% healthy at age 65 (π = .80). Column 8 is calculated as π*(column 2) plus (1 - π)*(column 5).