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Table 2 Outcomes* by Baseline State by Cohort

From: The effect of different public health interventions on longevity, morbidity, and years of healthy life

 

All Healthy at Baseline

All Sick at Baseline

US Distribution at Baseline **

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Intervention

YHL

YSL

YOL

YHL

YSL

YOL

YHL

YSL

YOL

 

Birth Cohort

Status Quo

67.87

9.51

77.38

64.52

9.94

74.46

67.80

9.52

77.33

One-Shot

67.87

9.51

77.38

67.87

9.51

77.38

67.87

9.51

77.38

HP/DP

68.97

8.81

77.78

65.57

9.27

74.84

68.90

8.82

77.72

Treatment

68.72

8.96

77.69

65.55

9.31

74.86

68.66

8.97

77.63

ICU

68.20

9.77

77.97

65.09

10.23

75.32

68.14

9.78

77.92

Safety

68.24

9.63

77.87

64.87

10.06

74.92

68.17

9.64

77.81

HP/DP+One-Shot

68.97

8.81

77.78

68.97

8.81

77.78

68.97

8.81

77.78

HP/DP+ICU

69.29

9.05

78.34

66.13

9.54

75.67

69.22

9.06

78.28

 

Retiree Cohort

Status Quo

13.12

4.28

17.40

10.44

5.45

15.90

12.58

4.52

17.10

One-Shot

13.12

4.28

17.40

13.12

4.28

17.40

13.12

4.28

17.40

HP/DP

13.62

4.02

17.64

10.84

5.24

16.09

13.07

4.26

17.33

Treatment

13.43

4.12

17.55

10.94

5.20

16.14

12.93

4.34

17.27

ICU

13.30

4.50

17.79

10.71

5.71

16.43

12.78

4.74

17.52

Safety

13.36

4.38

17.74

10.64

5.53

16.17

12.82

4.61

17.43

HP/DP+One-Shot

13.62

4.02

17.64

13.62

4.02

17.64

13.62

4.02

17.64

HP/DP+ICU

13.80

4.22

18.01

11.12

5.49

16.60

13.26

4.47

17.73

  1. * Years of healthy life, years of sick life, and Years of life due to a 10% improvement (α = .10) using the listed intervention. For One-Shot, the intervention makes everyone healthy at baseline (λ= 1.0 and α is irrelevant). For HP/DP+One-Shot, everyone is healthy at baseline and α = .10 for the HP/DP intervention).
  2. ** U.S. distribution at baseline is assumed to be 98% healthy at birth (π = .98) and 80% healthy at age 65 (π = .80). Column 8 is calculated as π*(column 2) plus (1 - π)*(column 5).