Table 3 Predictive performance of different multivariate models
Sensitivity* (95% CI) | Specificity* (95% CI) | Area under ROC Curve* (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|---|
Multiple logistic regression (original sample) | 71.3 (62.4–79.1) | 59.4 (50.7–67.7) | 68.2 (61.9–74.6) |
Multiple logistic regression (validation sample) | 67.4 (58.6–75.4) | 59.7 (50.9–68.1) | 67.0 (60.6–73.4) |
Multiple logistic regression using scores (original sample) | 63.9 (54.8–72.4) | 63.8 (55.2–71.8) | 69.4 (62.8–76.0) |
Multiple logistic regression using scores (validation sample) | 65.9 (57.0–74.0) | 60.5 (51.6–68.8) | 68.1 (61.6–74.7) |
CART (original sample) | 63.7 (54.6–72.2) | 75.5 (67.5–82.4) | 74.9 (69.0–80.8) |
CART (validation sample) | 64.2 (55.6–72.2) | 60.6 (51.9–68.8) | 66.4 (60.0–72.8) |