Figure 5

Trends of the probability of dying between ages 15 and 60 years, Manhiça 1998–2005 and Mozambique, 1980–2000. Siblings – ₄₅q₁₅ estimated from the 1997 DHS data, Mozambique, using the siblings histories methods; Orphanhood – ₄₅q₁₅ estimated from the 1997 DHS data, Mozambique, using the orphanhood method; Census – ₄₅q₁₅ estimated from the 1997 Census data, Mozambique; Manhiça – ₄₅q₁₅ estimated from the Manhiça DSS data. The reported trend is statistically significant (P-value of the Likelihood Ratio Test using the Poisson regression was <0.001 for both linear vs null models and categorical vs linear models); Cid.Maputo – ₄₅q₁₅ estimates for Maputo city, 1994 [19]; WHO – ₄₅q₁₅ estimates for Mozambique from WHO reports [11–13].