Figure 3

Separation of epidemiologic and demographic contributions to the projected change in obesity prevalence and numbers of individuals, for men and women. The linear scenario is indicated by the black line and the deceleration scenario is indicated by the gray line. The demographic projection using 2011–2012 as reference is indicated by the dotted line; the corresponding epidemiologic projections are indicated by the black and gray circles. The demographic projection using 1987 as reference is indicated by the dashed line.