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Table 1 Disease progression inputs used in the CVD micro-simulation model

From: Hypertension education and adherence in South Africa: a cost-effectiveness analysis of community health workers

Parameter

Value

Source

From disease free state

  

Non-CVD death

Age- and sex-specific table

NCHS [19]

Stroke event

RF-based equation

Wolf [17]

CHD event

RF-based equation

Anderson [20]

 % Cardiac arrest

Age- and sex-specific table

Weinstein [21]

 % MI (males)

0.350

NHLBI [22], ARIC [23]

 % MI (females)

0.200

NHLBI [22], ARIC [23]

 % Angina

Formula

100% -% Cardiac arrest -% MI

From cardiac arrest state

  

Acute (within 1 year) death

0.954

Nichol [24]

Chronic (post 1st-year) death

0.040

Assumption: same as MI

From MI state

  

Acute death

Age- specific table

McGovern [25], Roger [26], Lee [27]

Acute CABG

0.082

Fang [28]

Acute PTCA

0.300

Fang [28]

 % Procedure death

0.009

Dorros [29]

Acute 2nd MI (after PTCA)

0.052

BARI [30]

Chronic (post 1st-year) death

0.040

Law [31]

  >1 previous MI

0.100

Law [31]

Repeat MI

0.064

Jokhadar [32]

From MI and CABG state

  

Acute post-CABG death

0.027

Peterson [33]

Acute 2nd MI

0.051

BARI [30]

Chronic (post 1st-year) death

0.040

Assumption: same as MI

  >1 previous MI

0.100

Assumption: same as MI

Repeat MI

0.039

Yusuf [34], Jokhadar [32]

From angina state

  

Acute death

0.045

Capewell [35]

Acute cardiac arrest

0.006

Hsia [36]

Acute MI

0.035

Hemingway [37]

Acute CABG

0.200

Ford [38]

Acute PTCA

0.300

Ford [38]

Chronic (post 1st-year) death

0.030

Law [31]

Chronic (post 1st-year) MI

0.035

Hemingway [37]

From angina and CABG state

  

Chronic (post 1st-year) death

0.018

Yusuf [34], Law [31]

Chronic (post 1st-year) MI

0.021

Yusuf [34], Hemingway [37]