Planning for the future: cancer incidence projections in Switzerland up to 2019

BMC Public Health

Table 1 Trend chosen to project the common drift parameter D accounting for the linear component of the trend in period and cohort by cancer site

Cancer site	ICD-10 codes	Trend^a
		Male	Female
Oral cavity & pharynx	C00-14	Average	Recent
Stomach	C16	Recent	Average
Colon, rectum	C18-20	Recent	Recent
Lung, bronchus, trachea	C33-34	Recent	Average
Skin melanoma	C43	Average	Average
Breast	C50		3 age classes <50: Average 50-60: Recent 70+: Recent
Corpus uteri, uterus NOS	C54-55		Average
Ovary	C56		Average
Prostate	C61	2005-2009 rate^b
Bladder	C67	Average	Recent
Thyroid	C73	Average	Average
Non Hodgkin lymphoma	C82-85, C96	Recent	Recent
Other cancers (All cancers minuscancer sites)	C17, C21-32, C35-42, C45-49, C51-52, C57-60, C62-66,C68-72, C74-81, C86-95, C97	Average	Average

^a Average: average trend over entire prediction base; Recent: average trend from last 10 years.
^b Constant age specific incidence rates of last observed period (2005-2009).

ISSN: 1471-2458