Variable | TPM model 1 | TPM model 2 | TPM model 3 | TPM model 4 | TPM model 5 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
dy/dx | p | 95% CI | dy/dx | p | 95% CI | dy/dx | p | 95% CI | dy/dx | p | 95% CI | dy/dx | p | 95% CI | |
Number of chronic diseases | 89.1 | ** | 53.4, 124.9 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Specific chronic conditions | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Cancer | Â | Â | Â | 257.7 | ** | 151.2, 364.1 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Heart | Â | Â | Â | 70.3 | Â | -44.1, 184.7 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
HBP | Â | Â | Â | 28.5 | Â | -51.8, 108.7 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Stroke | Â | Â | Â | 0.5 | Â | -229.3, 230.3 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Diabetes | Â | Â | Â | 84.4 | Â | -41.7, 210.6 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Asthma | Â | Â | Â | 112.1 | * | 0.7, 223.5 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Bronchitis | Â | Â | Â | 4.6 | Â | -213, 222.2 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Arthritis | Â | Â | Â | 0.6 | Â | -90.8, 92.1 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Osteoporosis | Â | Â | Â | 43.2 | Â | -97.8, 184.2 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Depression | Â | Â | Â | 75.5 | Â | -47.2, 198.1 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Multiple morbidity a | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
No disease | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | -95.2 | Â | -206.6, 16.3 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Arthritis only | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | -40.6 | Â | -203.9, 122.8 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
All others with one disease | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | 198.6 | * | 38.7, 358.5 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
HBP and arthritis | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | 41.3 | Â | -148.5, 231.0 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
HBP and diabetes | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | 9.7 | Â | -232.3, 251.7 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
HBP and heart disease | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | -100.1 | Â | -294.7, 94.4 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Arthritis and asthma | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | -154.9 | Â | -328.7, 18.9 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
All others with two diseases only | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | 169.6 | * | 31.6, 307.6 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
HBP, arthritis and cancer | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | 63.0 | Â | -285.3, 411.3 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
HBP, arthritis and diabetes | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | 233.3 | Â | -273.8, 740.4 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
All others with three diseases only | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | 151.3 | * | 6.4, 296.1 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
All with four diseases only | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | 251.5 | * | 55.1, 447.9 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
All with more than four diseases | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | 552.0 | ** | 241.3, 862.7 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Natural clusters | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
People with none of these conditions | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | 1.00 | Â | - | Â | Â | Â |
Group 1 (asthma-bronchitis-arthritis-osteoporosis-depression) | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | 139.3 | * | 33.0, 245.5 | Â | Â | Â |
Group 2 (HBP-Diabetes) | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | 123.4 | * | 27.2, 219.5 | Â | Â | Â |
Group 3 (heart-stroke) | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | 187.9 | ** | 52.8, 322.9 | Â | Â | Â |
Group 4 (cancer) | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | 377.5 | ** | 215.9, 539.0 | Â | Â | Â |
Clinically suggested clusters | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Asthma and bronchitis | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | 97.6 | Â | -7.1, 202.3 |
Arthritis and osteoporosis | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | -3.1 | Â | -92.0, 85.9 |
Depression | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | 77.6 | Â | -44.2, 199.5 |
Heart, HBP, stroke and diabetes | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | 63.3 | Â | -17.5, 144.1 |
Cancer | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | 255.0 | ** | 150.2, 359.8 |
Number of other chronic disease | Â | Â | Â | 146.9 | ** | 83.1, 210.6 | Â | Â | Â | 147.9 | ** | 84.2, 211.6 | 146.8 | ** | 83.5, 210.1 |
Age groups | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
75+ | 1.00 | - | - | 1.00 | Â | - | 1.00 | - | - | 1.00 | Â | - | 1.00 | Â | - |
50-64 years | 115.9 | Â | -7.18, 238.9 | 78.6 | Â | -37.8, 195.0 | 112.4 | * | 0.1, 224.8 | 82.5 | Â | -30.5, 195.6 | 69.6 | Â | -43.5, 182.7 |
65-74 years | 92.9 | Â | -8.11, 193.9 | 72.9 | Â | -22.8, 168.6 | 91.3 | Â | -2.0, 184.6 | 71.1 | Â | -23.6, 165.7 | 66.4 | Â | -28.5, 161.3 |
Male | 141.1 | ** | 46.2, 236.1 | 128.9 | ** | 40.7, 217.0 | 145.0 | ** | 58.5, 231.4 | 123.1 | ** | 37.2, 209.0 | 127.5 | ** | 41.0, 214.1 |
SF-12 physical health score | -11.9 | ** | -19.1, -4.8 | -12.0 | ** | -18.5, -5.5 | -12.4 | ** | -19.0, -5.9 | -12.6 | ** | -19.0, -6.3 | -12.4 | ** | -18.8, -5.9 |
SF-12 mental health score | -12.2 | ** | -20.4, -4.1 | -11.8 | ** | -19.6, -4.1 | -11.9 | ** | -19.3, -4.6 | -14.3 | ** | -21.6, -7.0 | -12.2 | ** | -19.9, -4.6 |
Income | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
<20 000 (ref) | 1.00 | - | - | 1.00 | - | - | 1.00 | - | - | 1.00 | Â | Â | 1.00 | - | - |
20000-40000 | -22.7 | Â | -130.8, 85.4 | 1.5 | Â | -92.7, 95.7 | -6.1 | Â | -102.5, 90.3 | 5.7 | Â | -86.6, 98.1 | 1.6 | Â | -91.7, 94.9 |
40000-60000 | 126.7 | Â | -11.5, 264.9 | 150.6 | * | 27.6, 273.7 | 146.0 | * | 21.4, 270.6 | 154.3 | * | 34.6, 273.9 | 152.4 | * | 31.2, 273.6 |
60000-80000 | 239.8 | * | 41.7, 437.9 | 265.4 | ** | 86.8, 444.0 | 267.4 | * | 82.7, 452.1 | 255.6 | ** | 82.2, 429.0 | 268.9 | ** | 91.0, 446.8 |
80000-100000 | 272.3 | * | 23.0, 521.6 | 256.7 | * | 44.1, 469.2 | 290.4 | * | 62.9, 517.8 | 307.4 | ** | 81.5, 533.3 | 264.8 | * | 53.1, 476.5 |
>100 000 | 397.4 | ** | 140.7, 654.1 | 397.0 | ** | 174.1, 619.9 | 363.2 | ** | 145.7, 580.7 | 398.4 | ** | 177.7, 619.1 | 401.7 | ** | 178.8, 624.6 |
Region | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Remote | 1.00 | - | - | 1.00 | Â | - | 1.00 | Â | Â | 1.00 | Â | Â | 1.00 | Â | - |
Cities | 213.7 | * | 3.5, 423.9 | 228.3 | * | 47.1, 409.4 | 246.5 | * | 71.0, 422.0 | 225.2 | * | 46.0, 404.3 | 232.1 | * | 55.5, 408.7 |
Regional | 164.7 | Â | -45.7, 375.2 | 178.2 | Â | -3.8, 360.2 | 179.7 | * | 5.1, 354.3 | 183.3 | * | 2.8, 363.8 | 182.0 | * | 4.7, 359.3 |
 | n = 2226 | n = 2226 | n = 2226 | n = 2226 | n = 2226 | ||||||||||
AIC = 25827; BIC = 25987 | AIC = 25782; BIC = 26056 | AIC = 25777; BIC = 26074 | AIC = 25784; BIC = 25989 | AIC = 25761; BIC = 25978 |