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Table 2 Parameter values and assumptions for implementing social distancing into the model

From: Can informal social distancing interventions minimize demand for antiviral treatment during a severe pandemic?

Social distancing parameters

Item

Experience

Value (range examined)

Reference

Proportion of the population intending to engage in social distancing

1. Avoiding crowded places

56% (31-81%)

[1, 2, 51–55]

2. Avoiding public transportation

3. Avoiding public places

4. Changing school / work arrangements

Magnitude of behaviour change

Percent reduction in contacts

38% (7 – 69%)

[13]

Start of social distancing behaviours

Assumption

2 weeks after first imported case

Assumption

Number of weeks that behaviour change is maintained

Assumption

16 weeks (12 – 24 weeks)

[53]

Effect of age on behaviour change

Assumption

No effect

[2, 56]