Skip to main content

Table 2 Advantages and disadvantages of projection methods

From: A commentary on studies presenting projections of the future prevalence of dementia

 

Extrapolation

Macro simulation

Micro simulation

Complexity

Simple

Not overly complex

Complex

Account for excess mortality in dementia

No

Yes

Yes

Account for changes in incidence or prevalence

Yes

Yes

Yes

Account for changes in progression

No

Yes

Yes

Directly account for changes in risk factors

No

No

Yes

Allows identification of distributional characteristics of systems

No

No

Yes