Table 1 Projection method assumptions
From: A commentary on studies presenting projections of the future prevalence of dementia
| Extrapolation | Cell-based macro-simulation |
|---|---|
| Constant prevalence over time | Constant incidence over time |
| Constant prevalence between regions | Constant incidence between |
| regions | |
| Equal mortality risk | Constant difference in mortality |
| risk | |
| Constant rate of progression | Rate of progression stable over |
| time | |
| Risk factors stable over time | Risk factors stable over time |
| Risk factors stable between regions | Risk factors stable between |
| regions |
