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Table 1 Projection method assumptions

From: A commentary on studies presenting projections of the future prevalence of dementia

Extrapolation

Cell-based macro-simulation

Constant prevalence over time

Constant incidence over time

Constant prevalence between regions

Constant incidence between

 

regions

Equal mortality risk

Constant difference in mortality

 

risk

Constant rate of progression

Rate of progression stable over

 

time

Risk factors stable over time

Risk factors stable over time

Risk factors stable between regions

Risk factors stable between

 

regions