Dynamic modelling of costs and health consequences of school closure during an influenza pandemic

Xue, Yiting; Kristiansen, Ivar Sønbø; de Blasio, Birgitte Freiesleben

doi:10.1186/1471-2458-12-962

BMC Public Health

Table 5 Cost and health outcome according to type and duration of school closure when R ₀ =2.5

From: Dynamic modelling of costs and health consequences of school closure during an influenza pandemic

Target school	Duration (weeks)	Cost of lost learning ($1000)	Lost productivitydue to school closure ($1000)	Energy savings ($1000)	Health care costs ($1000)	Lost productivity due to fatal cases ($1000)	Lost productivity due to sickness ($1000)	Total cost ($1000)	QALY gains (compared to no intervention)	Cost per QALY (compared to no intervention)	ICER
0	0	0	0	0	32 961	479 607	155 079	667 646
3	1	3 225	0	180	32 928	479 185	155 005	670 162	16	160 991
3	3	9 675	0	540	32 544	474 295	154 205	670 179	195	12 994
3	4	12 900	0	720	32 367	472 045	153 864	670 456	277	10 150	3 380
3	2	6 450	0	360	32 801	477 565	154 728	671 184	75	47 003	Dominated
3	5	16 125	0	900	32 318	471 424	153 771	672 739	299	17 011	101 226
3	6	19 350	0	1 080	32 308	471 296	153 752	675 626	304	26 248	620 315
3	7	22 575	0	1 260	32 306	471 271	153 749	678 641	305	36 059	3 386 921
3	8	25 800	0	1 440	32 306	471 267	153 748	681 681	305	46 005	20 007 697
3	9	29 025	0	1 620	32 306	471 266	153 748	684 725	305	55 979	126 703 892
3	10	32 250	0	1 800	32 306	471 266	153 748	687 770	305	65 955	289 245 859
2	1	0	26 795	188	32 929	479 210	155 022	693 768	15	1 764 356
1	1	0	36 194	174	32 929	479 216	155 031	703 195	15	2 442 399
2	2	0	53 591	376	32 811	477 750	154 823	718 598	69	738 185
4	1	0	62 989	362	32 899	478 844	154 977	729 347	28	2 168 767
5	1	3 225	62 989	542	32 871	478 484	154 908	731 936	42	1 538 432
1	2	0	72 388	348	32 797	477 600	154 839	737 276	75	934 187
2	3	0	80 386	564	32 504	473 932	154 337	740 595	210	348 001
2	4	0	107 181	752	32 174	469 835	153 856	762 295	359	263 354
1	3	0	108 582	522	32 532	474 332	154 456	769 379	196	520 297
2	5	0	133 976	940	32 013	467 836	153 631	786 516	432	275 032
4	2	0	125 979	724	32 671	476 022	154 614	788 561	133	907 803
5	2	6 450	125 979	1 084	32 558	474 572	154 337	792 811	187	670 647
1	4	0	144 776	696	32 315	471 663	154 148	802 206	294	457 624
2	6	0	160 772	1 128	31 970	467 302	153 571	812 487	452	320 722
1	5	0	180 970	870	32 242	470 771	154 046	837 160	327	518 523
2	7	0	187 567	1 316	31 962	467 200	153 560	838 973	455	376 283
4	3	0	188 968	1 086	32 117	469 165	153 760	842 924	386	453 852
5	3	9 675	188 968	1 626	31 806	465 143	153 021	846 987	533	336 228
2	8	0	214 362	1 504	31 960	467 181	153 558	865 557	456	434 015
1	6	0	217 164	1 044	32 226	470 573	154 023	872 943	334	614 247
2	9	0	241 157	1 692	31 960	467 177	153 557	892 159	456	492 180
4	4	0	251 957	1 448	31 531	461 895	152 891	896 827	653	351 186
5	4	12 900	251 957	2 168	30 971	454 663	151 625	899 947	916	253 572
1	7	0	253 358	1 218	32 224	470 539	154 019	908 922	335	719 170
2	10	0	267 953	1 880	31 960	467 176	153 557	918 766	456	550 486
1	8	0	289 552	1 392	32 223	470 532	154 019	944 934	336	825 928
4	5	0	314 946	1 810	31 242	458 297	152 470	955 145	784	366 760
5	5	16 125	314 946	2 710	30 530	449 119	150 906	958 916	1 118	260 600
1	9	0	325 746	1 566	32 223	470 531	154 019	980 953	336	933 116
4	6	0	377 936	2 172	31 161	457 290	152 353	1 016 567	821	425 217
1	10	0	361 940	1 740	32 223	470 531	154 019	1 016 972	336	1 040 374
5	6	19 350	377 936	3 252	30 395	447 425	150 689	1 022 542	1 179	300 960
4	7	0	440 925	2 534	31 145	457 092	152 330	1 078 958	828	496 882
5	7	22 575	440 925	3 794	30 360	446 990	150 633	1 087 690	1 195	351 506
4	8	0	503 914	2 896	31 142	457 055	152 326	1 141 540	829	571 548
5	8	25 800	503 914	4 336	30 354	446 910	150 623	1 153 266	1 198	405 402
4	9	0	566 903	3 258	31 142	457 047	152 325	1 204 158	829	646 844
5	9	29 025	566 903	4 878	30 353	446 893	150 621	1 218 917	1 199	459 966
4	10	0	629 893	3 620	31 141	457 045	152 324	1 266 783	829	722 298
5	10	32 250	629 893	5 420	30 352	446 889	150 620	1 284 584	1 199	514 689

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ISSN: 1471-2458

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