Figure 5

Expected fertility rate under scenarios of contraceptive prevalence and breastfeeding. Both figures show the relationship between contraceptive prevalence, average length of breastfeeding, and fertility. The left figure show these relationships in terms of fertility indices; the right figure shows these relationships in terms of prevalence. Values in the color bands correspond with different levels of TFR. Currently, Idjwi is positioned in the bottom left corner with 8.3 TFR, an estimated 1% contraceptive prevalence (Cu=0.991), and average length of total breastfeeding 10.4 months (Ci=0.812). If an interim goal is to reduce TFR to 6 births per woman, this figure outlines a range of scenarios to achieve that goal including increasing contraceptive prevalence to 30% (Cu=0.715), extending average length of breastfeeding to 21 months (Ci=0.608), or some combination of both such as extending average length of breastfeeding to 15 months (Ci=0.718) and providing contraception to 20% (Cu=0.810) of the Island’s sexually active fecund women.