Table 2 Deaths attributable to population risk factor changes in Syria between 1996 and 2006
From: Explaining the increase in coronary heart disease mortality in Syria between 1996 and 2006
RISK FACTORS* | Risk factor levels 1996 2006 | Relative Change (%) in risk factor 1996-2006 | Relative Risk (RR1) (or βeta Coefficient)2 | Increase in Deaths | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Best Estimate | Minimum estimate | Maximum estimate | Proportion of overall deaths |
Cholesterol mmol/l | Â | Â | Â | 1000 | 635 | 1460 | 15.7% | |
Cholesterol (men) | 5.01 | 5.23 | 4.5 | β 0.65 |  |  |  |  |
Cholesterol (women) | 5.07 | 5.46 | 7.6 | β 0.65 |  |  |  |  |
Smoking ( % ) |  |  |  | 1,60 (1–9 cig/d); | 225 | 145 | 320 | 3.5% |
1.80 (10–19 cig/d); | ||||||||
2.10 (>20 cig/d) | ||||||||
(% men smoking) | 55.3 | 58.6 | 6.0 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
(% women smoking) | 10.0 | 15.0 | 49.4 | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
BMI Kg/m 2 | Â | Â | Â | Â | 470 | 270 | 710 | 7.3% |
BMI (men) | 26.75 | 28.26 | 5.6 | β 0.02 |  |  |  |  |
BMI (women) | 29.08 | 31.24 | 7.4 | β 0.02 |  |  |  |  |
Diabetes (%) | Â | Â | Â | 770 | 490 | 1105 | 12.0% | |
Diabetes (men) | 7.4 | 11.5 | 55.6 | 2 | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Diabetes (women) | 10.1 | 15.5 | 52.6 | 2 | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Population systolic BP mm/Hg | Â | Â | 2680 | 1620 | 4110 | 42.1% | ||
Population BP (men) | 125.6 | 131.8 | 4.9 | β 0.053 |  |  |  |  |
Population BP (women) | 118.7 | 129.9 | 9.5 | β 0.053 |  |  |  |  |
Physical inactivity | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Estimated total risk factor effects | Â | 5140 | 3155 | 7705 | 80.7% | |||