Skip to main content

Advertisement

Table 2 Deaths attributable to population risk factor changes in Syria between 1996 and 2006

From: Explaining the increase in coronary heart disease mortality in Syria between 1996 and 2006

RISK FACTORS* Risk factor levels 1996 2006 Relative Change (%) in risk factor 1996-2006 Relative Risk (RR1) (or βeta Coefficient)2 Increase in Deaths
      Best Estimate Minimum estimate Maximum estimate Proportion of overall deaths
Cholesterol mmol/l     1000 635 1460 15.7%
Cholesterol (men) 5.01 5.23 4.5 β 0.65     
Cholesterol (women) 5.07 5.46 7.6 β 0.65     
Smoking ( % )     1,60 (1–9 cig/d); 225 145 320 3.5%
1.80 (10–19 cig/d);
2.10 (>20 cig/d)
(% men smoking) 55.3 58.6 6.0      
(% women smoking) 10.0 15.0 49.4      
BMI Kg/m 2      470 270 710 7.3%
BMI (men) 26.75 28.26 5.6 β 0.02     
BMI (women) 29.08 31.24 7.4 β 0.02     
Diabetes (%)     770 490 1105 12.0%
Diabetes (men) 7.4 11.5 55.6 2     
Diabetes (women) 10.1 15.5 52.6 2     
Population systolic BP mm/Hg    2680 1620 4110 42.1%
Population BP (men) 125.6 131.8 4.9 β 0.053     
Population BP (women) 118.7 129.9 9.5 β 0.053     
Physical inactivity - - - - - - - -
Estimated total risk factor effects   5140 3155 7705 80.7%
  1. * Numbers of increases in deaths were rounded to nearest 0 or 5.