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Table 2 Results of logistic regression models for probability of death within 10-years for participants in the Australian Longitudinal Study on Women’s Health and the Health in Men Study cohorts: odds ratios and 95 % confidence intervals (95 % CI) estimated for each sex separately, and unexponentiated constant terms

From: Impact of behavioural risk factors on death within 10 years for women and men in their 70s: absolute risk charts

Variable Women (n=7438) Men (n=6053)
  Odds ratio (95% CI) Odds ratio (95% CI)
Age (years)     
 71-73 1.00 ref 1.00 ref
 74-76 1.47 (1.20 to 1.79) 1.65 (1.46 to 1.87)
 77-79 2.03 (1.64 to 2.51) 2.47 (2.16 to 2.84)
Smoking status     
 Never smoked 1.00 ref 1.00 ref
 Ex-smoker 1.45 (1.29 to 1.63) 1.54 (1.35 to 1.75)
 Current smoker 2.33 (1.85 to 2.93) 2.68 (2.19 to 3.29)
BMI (kg/m2)     
 Normal(18.5 to <25) 1.00 ref 1.00 ref
 Overweight (25 to <30) 0.82 (0.72 to 0.92) 0.87 (0.77 to 0.99)
 Obese (≥30) 1.03 (0.88 to 1.21) 0.98 (0.83 to 1.15)
Alcohol consumption     
 Weekly or more 1.00 ref 1.00 ref
 Less than weekly 1.27 (1.12 to 1.44) 1.23 (1.10 to 1.38)
Physical activity (MET.minutes/week)     
 Inactive (<600) 1.00 ref 1.00 ref
 Active (≥600) 0.66 (0.58 to 0.74) 0.68 (0.61 to 0.76)
 Constant (not exponentiated) −1.76 (−1.98 to −1.53) −1.07 (−1.24 to −0.90)
  Absolute risk % 14.7 (12.1 to 17.8) 25.6 (22.4 to 29.1)