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Table 2 Results of logistic regression models for probability of death within 10-years for participants in the Australian Longitudinal Study on Women’s Health and the Health in Men Study cohorts: odds ratios and 95 % confidence intervals (95 % CI) estimated for each sex separately, and unexponentiated constant terms

From: Impact of behavioural risk factors on death within 10 years for women and men in their 70s: absolute risk charts

Variable

Women (n=7438)

Men (n=6053)

 

Odds ratio

(95% CI)

Odds ratio

(95% CI)

Age (years)

    

 71-73

1.00

ref

1.00

ref

 74-76

1.47

(1.20 to 1.79)

1.65

(1.46 to 1.87)

 77-79

2.03

(1.64 to 2.51)

2.47

(2.16 to 2.84)

Smoking status

    

 Never smoked

1.00

ref

1.00

ref

 Ex-smoker

1.45

(1.29 to 1.63)

1.54

(1.35 to 1.75)

 Current smoker

2.33

(1.85 to 2.93)

2.68

(2.19 to 3.29)

BMI (kg/m2)

    

 Normal(18.5 to <25)

1.00

ref

1.00

ref

 Overweight (25 to <30)

0.82

(0.72 to 0.92)

0.87

(0.77 to 0.99)

 Obese (≥30)

1.03

(0.88 to 1.21)

0.98

(0.83 to 1.15)

Alcohol consumption

    

 Weekly or more

1.00

ref

1.00

ref

 Less than weekly

1.27

(1.12 to 1.44)

1.23

(1.10 to 1.38)

Physical activity (MET.minutes/week)

    

 Inactive (<600)

1.00

ref

1.00

ref

 Active (≥600)

0.66

(0.58 to 0.74)

0.68

(0.61 to 0.76)

 Constant (not exponentiated)

−1.76

(−1.98 to −1.53)

−1.07

(−1.24 to −0.90)

  Absolute risk %

14.7

(12.1 to 17.8)

25.6

(22.4 to 29.1)