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Table 9 Derivation of Smoothed Probability of Surviving and Smoothed Mortality Levels for Southern Nigeria

From: Survival probability and predictors for woman experience childhood death in Nigeria: “analysis of north–south differentials”

Age

x

l x(i)

Probabilities of survivingl S(i)

Logit{l x (i)}

Logit{l x (s)}

Logit{l x(l)

Smoothed Probability of Surviving

Smoothed Probability of Dying

Level 16

Level 17

Level 16.21

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

15-19

1

0.9231

0.91750

0.92764

0.91963

−1.24262

−1.21866

−1.23807

0.92245

0.07755

20-24

2

0.8940

0.89785

0.91162

0.90074

−1.06613

−1.10275

−1.12216

0.90416

0.09584

25-29

3

0.8910

0.88526

0.90101

0.88857

−1.05050

−1.03810

−1.05751

0.89235

0.10765

30-34

5

0.8893

0.86818

0.88633

0.87199

−1.04181

−0.95934

−0.97875

0.87626

0.12374

35-39

10

0.8683

0.84751

0.86868

0.85196

−0.94301

−0.87501

−0.89442

0.85679

0.14321

40-44

15

0.8705

0.83592

0.85853

0.84067

−0.95269

−0.83160

−0.85101

0.84580

0.15420

45-49

20

0.8338

0.82169

0.84564

0.82672

−0.80640

−0.78128

−0.80069

0.83221

0.16779

  1. lx(i): Probability of surviving for index population; lx(s): Probability of surviving for standard population.