Survival probability and predictors for woman experience childhood death in Nigeria: “analysis of north–south differentials”

Table 8 Derivation of Smoothed Probability of Surviving and Smoothed Mortality Levels for Northern Nigeria

Age	x	l_x(i)	Probabilities of surviving l_S(i)			Logit {l_x(i)}	Logit {l_x(s)}	Logit {l_x(l)	Smoothed Probability of Surviving	Smoothed Probability of Dying
Age	x	l_x(i)	Level 12	Level 13	Level 12.77	Logit {l_x(i)}	Logit {l_x(s)}	Logit {l_x(l)	Smoothed Probability of Surviving	Smoothed Probability of Dying
1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11
15-19	1	0.8879	0.87255	0.88497	0.88211	−1.03473	−1.00628	−0.99529	0.87980	0.12020
20-24	2	0.8379	0.83620	0.85299	0.84913	−0.82134	−0.86390	−0.85291	0.84629	0.15371
25-29	3	0.8386	0.81397	0.83342	0.82900	−0.82392	−0.78928	−0.77829	0.82586	0.17414
30-34	5	0.7943	0.78466	0.80764	0.80236	−0.67552	−0.70056	−0.68957	0.79885	0.20115
35-39	10	0.7565	0.75097	0.77729	0.77124	−0.56679	−0.60766	−0.59667	0.76734	0.23266
40-44	15	0.7811	0.73375	0.76138	0.75503	−0.63604	−0.56281	−0.55182	0.75094	0.24906
45-49	20	0.7059	0.71487	0.74346	0.73688	−0.43778	−0.51491	−0.50392	0.73260	0.26740

l_x(i): Probability of surviving for index population; l_x(s): Probability of surviving for standard population.

ISSN: 1471-2458