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Table 6 Derivation of Probability of Dying, Mortality Levels and Reference Period, Northern Nigeria, NDHS 2008

From: Survival probability and predictors for woman experience childhood death in Nigeria: “analysis of north–south differentials”

Age

x

FP(i)

CEB(i)

CA(i)

CD(i)

P(i)

D(i)

K(i)

qx(i)

l x(i)

ML

Ref. P

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

15-19

1

3193

1209

1056

153

0.3786

0.1266

0.8864

0.1122

0.8879

13.26

2007.5

20-24

2

3169

5257

4350

907

1.6589

0.1725

0.9395

0.1621

0.8379

12.10

2006.1

25-29

3

3200

10199

8429

1770

3.1872

0.1736

0.9296

0.1614

0.8386

13.29

2004.3

30-34

5

2361

11377

8988

2389

4.8187

0.2100

0.9795

0.2057

0.7943

12.42

2002.2

35-39

10

1947

12043

9246

2797

6.1854

0.2323

1.0483

0.2435

0.7565

12.21

1999.9

40-44

15

1620

10731

8465

2266

6.6241

0.2112

1.0364

0.2189

0.7811

13.76

1997.4

45-49

20

1541

11771

8365

3406

7.6386

0.2894

1.0161

0.2941

0.7059

11.68

1994.6

  1. FP(i): Female population; CEB(i): Children ever born; CA(i): Children alive; CD(i): Children dead; P(i): Average parity; D(i): Proportion of children dead; K(i): Multiplier; qx(i): Probability of dying; lx(i): Probability of surviving; ML: Mortality level; Ref. P: Reference period.