Epidemic features affecting the performance of outbreak detection algorithms

BMC Public Health

Table 3 Summary the performance of outbreak detection algorithms

Performance indicators	Mean	95% confidence interval	F value	P-value
Sensitivity(%)
EWMA	56.02	53.08-58.95	22.04	<0.001
CUSUM	58.72	55.81-61.63
MPM*	69.71	66.46-72.96
Timeliness(Day)
EWMA	2.40	2.20-2.62	20.28	<0.001
CUSUM	2.52	2.31-2.73
MPM*	1.65	1.45-1.85
False alarm rate(%)
EWMA	5.09	4.39-5.78	1.88	0.153
CUSUM	5.85	5.08-6.63
MPM	4.93	4.28-5.58

* p < 0.001.According to Bonferroni’s procedure, the family wise error rate was 0.05,divided by the number of test. The significance level αfor an individual test was 0.05/3,being 0.017.

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