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Table 1 Annual change and contribution of demographic changes and age-independent “risk” to cardiovascular diseases and cancer mortality 1980–2010, by sex

From: Changing patterns of cardiovascular diseases and cancer mortality in Portugal, 1980–2010

 

Disease

Annual change in

Annual variation in number of deaths due to variation in

 

Period *

Age-standardized mortality rate% (95% CI)

Number of deaths%

Population size%

Population age structure%

Age-independent “risk”%

Men

All cardiovascular diseases

     
 

1980-1993

−1.5 (−2.0 to −1.0)

1.00

0.15

2.08

−1.59

 

1993-2010

−4.3 (−4.7 to −3.9)

−2.20

0.18

1.35

−5.26

 

All cancers

     
 

1980-1997

0.9 (0.7 to 1.1)

2.76

0.28

1.65

1.16

 

1997-2006

−0.7 (−1.2 to −0.2)

1.18

0.60

1.32

−0.78

 

2006-2010

1.5 (0.2 to 2.9)

2.85

−0.26

0.66

2.47

Women

All cardiovascular diseases

     
 

1980-1996

−2.0 (−2.3 to −1.6)

0.75

0.17

1.98

−1.94

 

1996-2010

−4.6 (−5.1 to −4.2)

−1.79

0.23

2.00

−5.92

 

All cancers

     
 

1980-1990

0.4 (0.2 to 0.7)

2.09

0.18

1.36

0.65

 

1990-2002

−0.6 (−0.9 to −0.4)

1.19

0.37

1.32

−0.61

 

2002-2006

−1.9 (−3.4 to −0.5)

−0.62

0.41

1.26

−2.39

 

2006-2010

1.3 (0.4 to 2.3)

3.17

−0.10

1.08

2.24

  1. * We considered the periods with constant log-linear trend identified in the joinpoint analysis.