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Table 1 Annual change and contribution of demographic changes and age-independent “risk” to cardiovascular diseases and cancer mortality 1980–2010, by sex

From: Changing patterns of cardiovascular diseases and cancer mortality in Portugal, 1980–2010

  Disease Annual change in Annual variation in number of deaths due to variation in
  Period * Age-standardized mortality rate% (95% CI) Number of deaths% Population size% Population age structure% Age-independent “risk”%
Men All cardiovascular diseases      
  1980-1993 −1.5 (−2.0 to −1.0) 1.00 0.15 2.08 −1.59
  1993-2010 −4.3 (−4.7 to −3.9) −2.20 0.18 1.35 −5.26
  All cancers      
  1980-1997 0.9 (0.7 to 1.1) 2.76 0.28 1.65 1.16
  1997-2006 −0.7 (−1.2 to −0.2) 1.18 0.60 1.32 −0.78
  2006-2010 1.5 (0.2 to 2.9) 2.85 −0.26 0.66 2.47
Women All cardiovascular diseases      
  1980-1996 −2.0 (−2.3 to −1.6) 0.75 0.17 1.98 −1.94
  1996-2010 −4.6 (−5.1 to −4.2) −1.79 0.23 2.00 −5.92
  All cancers      
  1980-1990 0.4 (0.2 to 0.7) 2.09 0.18 1.36 0.65
  1990-2002 −0.6 (−0.9 to −0.4) 1.19 0.37 1.32 −0.61
  2002-2006 −1.9 (−3.4 to −0.5) −0.62 0.41 1.26 −2.39
  2006-2010 1.3 (0.4 to 2.3) 3.17 −0.10 1.08 2.24
  1. * We considered the periods with constant log-linear trend identified in the joinpoint analysis.