Table 4 Scenario analysis: Present value of net public sector savings per family from a parenting programme
Worst case | Base case | Best case | |
|---|---|---|---|
Public sector savings year 1 (post-intervention)* | -£1,011 | -£781 | £152 |
Total public sector savings (25 years)* | £1,271 | £4,660 | £41,611 |
Years to break even group provision only | 9 | 5 | 1 |
Years to break even 80% group, 20% individual | 9 | 6 | 1 |
Years to break even individual provision only | 12 | 8 | 2 |
Return to public sector multiple of intervention cost | 1.2 to 2.6 | 2.8 to 6.1 | 20.6 to 45.0 |
Return to society multiple of intervention cost | 2.1 to 4.7 | 5.1 to 11.1 | 38.9 to 84.8 |