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Table 2 Model parameters for Far-Western Nepal.

From: HIV epidemic in Far-Western Nepal: effect of seasonal labor migration to India

Description Parameter Base Value [Low-High] Source
Demographic Parameters
Total sexually active population N (0) 638,130 Estimated, Calculated, [28]
Initial compartments    
   Susceptible S (0) 419,610 Calculated
   HIV infected I (0) 210 Calculated
   Migrants in India M (0) 218,310 Estimated, Calculated, [11, 12]
Maturation Λ 15,321 (ASa) Data fitting
   13,999 (FMb) Data fitting
Death rate (non-HIV) μ 0.022 Calculated, [31]
Migration rate    
   To India α 0.39 (AS) Data fitting
   0.38 (FM) Data fitting
   From India λ 0.024 (AS) Data fitting
   0.028 (FM) Data fitting
HIV+ probability in returned migrants p 0.022 (AS) Data fitting
   0.020 (FM) Data fitting
  HIV Disease Parameters  
Transmission rate β 0.016 (AS) Data fitting
   0.018 (FM) Data fitting
HIV/AIDS death rate δ 0.116 [0.116 - 0.053] Estimated, Calculated, [2, 17, 19, 32, 33]
  Sexual Behavior Parameters  
Annual no. of sex partners n 1.5 [15] Estimated, [7]
Condom use c 0.39 [0.12-0.60] Estimated, Calculated, [6, 7, 9]
HIV transmission probability θ 0.02 [0.01-0.11] Estimated, [17, 33, 34]
  1. a AS: Analytic solution in low-prevalence setting; b FM: Full SIM model