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Table 2 Accuracy of ICD-9 coded diagnoses in physician claims, as compared to ICD-9 coded diagnoses from physician-facilitated medical chart review, for identifying constitutional, gastrointestinal, neurological, rash, and respiratory syndrome, as well as influenza-like illness (ILI) (N = 10,529 visits with matched claim-record pair)

From: Accuracy of syndrome definitions based on diagnoses in physician claims

Syndrome definition

No.

visits in verified claims

No.

visits in verified charts

Sensivity (95% CI)

Specificity (95% CI)

PPV (95% CI)

NPV (95% CI)

CDC and DoD ESSENCE 1

      

   Fever

601

656

0.11 (0.10, 0.13)

0.99 (0.99, 0.99)

0.59 (0.55, 0.64)

0.94 (0.93, 0.95)

   Gastrointestinal

855

888

0.23 (0.20, 0.26)

0.99 (0.99, 0.99)

0.71 (0.66, 0.75)

0.94 (0.94, 0.95)

   Neurological

971

693

0.17 (0.14, 0.21)

1.00 (1.00, 1.00)

0.67 (0.64, 0.70)

0.98 (0.98, 0.98)

   Rash

897

905

0.20 (0.18, 0.23)

0.99 (0.99, 0.99)

0.66 (0.62, 0.70)

0.95 (0.95, 0.96)

   Respiratory

1,049

1,779

0.44 (0.41, 0.47)

0.97 (0.96, 0.98)

0.85 (0.83, 0.88)

0.84 (0.83, 0.85)

RODS 2

      

   Fever

873

961

0.14 (0.12, 0.16)

0.99 (0.99, 0.99)

0.60 (0.56, 0.64)

0.91 (0.90, 0.92)

   Gastrointestinal

703

834

0.20 (0.18, 0.23)

0.99 (0.99, 0.99)

0.68 (0.63, 0.73)

0.94 (0.94, 0.95)

   Neurological

874

523

0.16 (0.13, 0.20)

1.00 (1.00, 1.00)

0.52 (0.48, 0.55)

0.99 (0.98, 0.99)

   Rash

814

718

0.12 (0.10, 0.14)

1.00 (1.00, 1.00)

0.63 (0.59, 0.66)

0.96 (0.96, 0.97)

   Respiratory

665

1,209

0.29 (0.26, 0.32)

0.98 (0.98, 0.98)

0.74 (0.70, 0.79)

0.87 (0.86, 0.88)

Influenza-like illness 3

      

   Large-group

653

1,232

0.38 (0.35, 0.41)

0.98 (0.98, 0.98)

0.77 (0.73, 0.81)

0.88 (0.87, 0.89)

   Small-group

53

49

0.18 (0.12, 0.26)

1.00 (1.00, 1.00)

0.29 (0.16, 0.41)

0.99 (0.99, 0.99)

  1. 1 Syndrome case definitions developed and published by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in 2003, and used by the US Department of Defense's Electronic Surveillance System for Early Notification of Community-based Epidemics (ESSENCE).
  2. 2 Syndrome case definitions developed in the context of the University of Pittsburgh's Real-time Outbreak and Disease Surveillance (RODS) system.
  3. 3 Syndrome case definitions developed in the context of the US Department of Defense's Electronic Surveillance System for Early Notification of Community-based Epidemics (ESSENCE).