Estimating and comparing incidence and prevalence of chronic diseases by combining GP registry data: the role of uncertainty

Table 3 stochastic ranking of diseases in terms of incidence in 2007

	Probability to rank
	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18
1 Coronary heart disease	0.30	0.34	0.22	0.11	0.03
2 Cataracts	0.22	0.43	0.28	0.07	0.01
3 Diabetes	0.04	0.11	0.33	0.37	0.14	0.01
4 Arthritis	0.38	0.04	0.05	0.08	0.11	0.08	0.05	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.02	0.01
5 Hearing impairments	0.05	0.07	0.11	0.28	0.34	0.12	0.02	0.01
6 COPD		0.01	0.02	0.09	0.27	0.38	0.14	0.08	0.02
7 Heart failure					0.05	0.25	0.44	0.21	0.03
8 Stroke					0.02	0.11	0.28	0.45	0.13	0.01
9 Osteoporosis				0.01	0.02	0.04	0.05	0.10	0.35	0.21	0.13	0.07	0.02	0.01
10 Dementia						0.01	0.01	0.05	0.28	0.33	0.20	0.09	0.02	0.00
11 Rheumatoid arthritis									0.08	0.30	0.44	0.16	0.02	0.00
12 Macular degeneration								0.01	0.06	0.10	0.12	0.22	0.17	0.08	0.16	0.06	0.01
13 Glaucoma										0.02	0.09	0.40	0.37	0.08	0.04	0.00
14 Epilepsy												0.05	0.30	0.49	0.15	0.01
15 Inflammatory bowel diseases												0.01	0.08	0.31	0.57	0.03
16 Parkinson															0.05	0.79	0.15
17 Schizophrenia												0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	0.11	0.50	0.33
18 Multiple sclerosis																	0.33	0.67

Diseases are ordered by rank as obtained by point estimates: bold face reflects the disease that is most likely to be at that position (i.e. the maximum value of each column); grey shade reflects at which position the disease is most likely to be ranked (i.e. the maximum value of each row).

ISSN: 1471-2458