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Table 3 Determinants of changes in drinking 1996-8 amongst 1996 male respondents (a) Samogon in 1998 amongst 1996 drinkers (non-samogon consumers) (b) Non-heavy frequent spirit (vodka/samogon) drinking in 1998 amongst frequent heavy spirit drinkers (1996) (RLMS)

From: Drinking in transition: trends in alcohol consumption in Russia 1994-2004

 

Drinking samogon in 1998 n = 213[baseline: 1996 drinkers (non-samogon consumers) n = 3,419] Odds ratio (95% CI)

Non frequent heavy spirit drinking in 1998 n = 98[baseline: 1996 frequent heavy spirit drinkers (≥80 g & > wkly) n = 593] - Odds ratio (95% CI)

 

Model 1

(age adjusted)

Model 2 (age, urban/rural, marital)

Model 3 ( = Model 2 + education, asset)

Model 1

(age adjusted)

Model 2 (age, urban/rural, marital)

Model 3 ( = Model 2 + education, asset)

Age

      

18-39

1

1

1

1

1

1

40-59

1.29 (0.91-1.83)

1.39 (0.95-2.02)

1.35 (0.93-1.97)

0.37 (0.22-0.60)

0.36 (0.22-0.61)

0.32 (0.19-0.55)

60 and over

2.27 (1.49-3.44)

2.49 (1.58-3.93)

2.18 (1.38-3.45)

0.49 (0.23-1.02)

0.51 (0.23-1.10)

0.43 (0.18-1.00)

Education

      

Higher

1

1

1

1

1

1

Complete secondary

1.88 (1.26-2.79)

1.62 (1.07-2.46)

1.41 (0.92-2.14)

0.86 (0.50-1.48)

0.90 (0.52-1.56)

0.88 (0.50-1.54)

Incomplete secondary

1.36 (0.88-2.09)

1.05 (0.66-1.65)

0.87 (0.55-1.39)

1.28 (0.71-2.32)

1.65 (0.86-3.17)

1.60 (0.82-3.12)

Area

      

Urban

1

1

1

1

1

1

Rural

1.88 (1.35-2.61)

1.88 (1.35-2.62)

1.46 (1.03-2.08)

0.72 (0.42-1.23)

0.68 (0.40-1.17)

0.55 (0.30-1.00)

Moscow St P

0.25 (0.08-0.81)

0.26 (0.08-0.83)

0.26 (0.08-0.85)

0.64 (0.31-1.29)

0.64 (0.32-1.31)

0.66 (0.32-1.36)

Marital status

      

Married

1

1

1

1

1

1

Single

1.59 (0.95-2.67)

1.54 (0.91-2.61)

1.54 (0.91-2.61)

1.55 (0.53-4.56)

1.65 (0.56-4.90)

1.57 (0.53-4.67)

Divorced

1.88 (1.09-3.24)

1.64 (0.93-2.91)

1.64 (0.93-2.91)

0.92 (0.47-1.80)

1.39 (0.64-2.99)

1.32 (0.61-2.89)

Widowed

0.63 (0.22-1.84)

0.68 (0.23-2.01)

0.68 (0.23-2.01)

0.92 (0.24-3.54)

0.74 (0.19-2.91)

0.66 (0.16-2.65)

Optimism over financial situation (1-5 high-low)

1.30 (1.11-1.52)

1.26 (1.07-1.49)

1.23 (1.05-1.46)

0.97 (0.78-1.21)

0.98 (0.78-1.23)

0.97 (0.77-1.22)

Asset score (0-5 low-high)

0.73 (0.65-0.82)

0.76 (0.66-0.87)

0.76 (0.66-0.87)

1.00 (0.86-1.16)

0.96 (0.80-1.15)

0.96 (0.80-1.15)

Decline in asset score 1996-98 (yes vs no)

0.64 (0.31-1.30)

0.89 (0.59-1.36)

1.06 (0.69-1.64)

1.27 (0.70-2.31)

1.21 (0.66-2.21)

1.28 (0.68-2.41)

Employment status 1996-98

      

Working 96 & 98

1

1

1

1

1

1

Working 96; not working 98

0.27 (0.17-0.45)

0.26 (0.16-0.44)

0.24 (0.14-0.39)

5.13 (2.55-10.32)

5.56 (2.67-11.56)

5.52 (2.64-11.51)

Not working 96;working 98

1.23 (0.64-2.35)

1.20 (0.61-2.34)

1.08 (0.55-2.12)

0.66 (0.25-1.74)

0.61 (0.23-1.63)

0.60 (0.22-1.64)

Not working 96 or 98

0.87 (0.58-1.30)

0.74 (0.48-1.14)

0.61 (0.39-0.95)

1.72 (0.99-2.99)

1.65 (0.92-2.94)

1.61 (0.89-2.94)

Drinking pattern - amount per occasion (g) & frequency

      

<80 g ≤ weekly

1

1

1

-

-

-

80-160 g ≤ weekly

1.65 (1.01-2.69)

1.51 (0.92-2.51)

1.41 (0.85-2.33)

-

-

-

>160 g ≤ weekly

1.64 (0.97-2.79)

1.47 (0.85-2.53)

1.32 (0.76-2.28)

-

-

-

<80 g >weekly

1.05 (0.42-2.64)

0.92 (0.34-2.51)

0.90 (0.33-2.47)

-

-

-

80-160 g >weekly

0.82 (0.39-1.74)

0.89 (0.42-1.92)

0.85 (0.39-1.83)

-

-

-

>160 g >weekly

2.60 (1.47-4.58)

2.26 (1.24-4.10)

2.04 (1.12-3.73)

-

-

-