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Table 3 Crude predictors of inpatient neonatal death in univariable analysis

From: An increase in the burden of neonatal admissions to a rural district hospital in Kenya over 19 years

Signs

Alive

Died

Crude LR

(univariable)

95%CI

Fever

1,793

250

0.54

0.48-0.61

No Fever

2,595

881

1.32

1.27 -1.37

Axilary temperature <36°C

816

533

2.62

2.40-2.86

36°C to 37.4°C

2,369

314

0.53

0.48- 0.59

37.5°C to 38.4°C

830

128

0.62

0.52- 0.74

38.5°C to 39.4°C

290

71

0.98

0.77- 1.26

≥39.5°C

58

40

2.77

1.86-4.12

Cough

749

66

1.14

1.11-1.16

No Cough

3,639

1,065

0.34

0.27-0.44

Indrawing

1,337

519

1.51

1.39-1.63

No indrawing

3,051

612

0.78

0.74-0.82

Wheeze

30

8

1.04

0.48-2.26

No wheeze

4,088

1,049

1.00

0.99-1.01

Stridor

21

6

1.10

0.44-2.72

No stridor

4,308

1,120

1.00

1.00- 1.004

Irregular breathing

280

252

3.60

3.08- 4.20

Regular breathing

3,545

705

0.80

0.77- 0.83

No Deep breathing

3,516

858

0.903

0.88-0.93

Difficulty in breathing

1,240

443

1.37

1.27-1.49

No difficulty in breathing

2,098

426

0.78

0.73-0.84

Nasal flaring

589

238

1.43

1.25-1.63

No nasal flaring

2,661

682

0.91

0.87- 0.94

BCG scar

885

103

0.43

0.36- 0.52

No BCG scar

2,814

898

1.18

1.15- 1.21

Respiratory rate (per minute)

<30

212

181

3.33

2.76-4.01

30 to 59

2,894

591

0.80

0.75-0.84

60 to 80

969

264

1.06

0.94 -1.20

> 80

236

70

1.16

0.89-1.50

Cyanosis

205

208

3.90

3.25- 4.68

No Cyanosis

4,123

918

0.86

0.83-0.88

Oxygen saturation (%)

<90

605

457

2.94

2.66- 3.26

90 to 100

3,072

666

0.69

0.66-0.72

Diarrhoea

66

11

0.65

0.34 -1.22

No diarrhoea

4,322

1,120

1.01

1.00-1.01

Vomiting

230

26

0.44

0.29-0.65

No Vomiting

4,158

1,105

1.03

1.02-1.043

Decreased skin turgor

135

46

1.21

0.87-1.68

Normal skin turgor

3,012

839

0.99

0.97- 1.01

Sunken eyes

59

17

1.13

0.66-1.93

No sunken eyes

3,851

978

1.00

0.99-1.08

Temperature gradient

443

297

2.48

2.18-2.82

No temperature gradient

3,087

657

0.79

0.75-0.82

Weak pulse

197

226

4.43

3.72-5.28

Normal pulse

3,004

606

0.78

0.74-0.81

Capillary refill time(seconds)

<1

2,578

449

0.67

0.62-0.72

1 to 3

1,670

566

1.31

1.22-1.40

> 3

80

109

5.25

3.96-6.95

Heart rate(per minute)

<100

130

124

3.566

2.82- 4.52

100 to 180

3,077

725

0.881

0.85-0.92

> 180

558

158

1.059

0.90-1.5

Pallor

225

170

2.93

2.43-3.54

No Pallor

4,163

961

0.90

0.87-0.92

breastfeeding

2,883

369

0.49

0.45-0.54

Not able to breastfeed

1,442

758

2.02

1.90 -2.14

cry

3,184

614

0.77

0.73-0.81

No cry

642

344

2.14

1.92 -2.39

Bulging fontanel

45

19

1.77

0.99- 2.87

Normal fontanel

3,767

935

0.99

0.98- 1.00

Neck stiffness

29

26

3.48

2.06- 5.88

No neck stiffness

4,286

1,087

0.98

0.97-0.99

irritable

109

55

1.97

1.43 2.70

Not irritable

4,007

1,001

0.97

0.96 -0.99

Convulsions

247

45

0.68

0.50- 0.93

No convulsions

3,513

964

1.02

1.01-1.04

Weight(kg)

<1.5

367

381

4.18

3.68-4.74

1.5 to <2.0

492

150

1.23

1.03-1.45

2.0 to <2.5

769

166

0.87

0.74-1.01

≥2.5

2,727

386

0.57

0.52-0.62

Age in days

0 to 2

1,335

619

1.73

1.62-1.85

3 to 6

808

231

1.07

0.94- 1.22

7 to 28

1,615

156

0.36

0.31- 0.42

Neonatal encephalopathy

298

150

1.81

1.51-2.17

Not neonatal encephalopathy

2,888

737

0.92

0.89-0.95

Neonatal tetanus

47

69

5.27

3.67-7.58

Not neonatal tetanus

3,139

818

0.94

0.92- 0.96

preterm

289

262

3.26

2.80-3.78

Not preterm

2,897

625

0.78

0.74-0.81

Neonatal sepsis

1,332

199

0.54

0.47- 0.61

Not neonatal sepsis

1,854

688

1.33

1.27- 1.40

meningitis

55

19

1.24

0.74- 2.08

Not meningitis

3,131

868

1.00

0.99- 1.01

Jaundice

509

86

0.61

0.49-0.75

Not jaundice

2,667

809

1.08

1.05-1.10

Blood glucose level(mmols/l)

< 2.6

705

279

1.44

1.28-1.62

≥ 2.6 to ≤ 7.0

2,327

422

0.66

0.61-0.71

> 7.0

236

199

3.06

2.57-3.64

Culture (blood or CSF) Positive

370

171

1.81

1.527 to 2.133

Negative

3,437

804

0.91

0.886 to 0.942