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Table 2 Unadjusted hazard ratios, 95% confidence intervals and survival probabilities for 3 and 9 months (n = 1350)

From: Low haemoglobin predicts early mortality among adults starting antiretroviral therapy in an HIV care programme in South Africa: a cohort study

 

Number of patients (Column %)

Unadjusted hazard ratio (95% CI)

Likelihood ratio test

p-value

Kaplan-Meier probability of survival 3 months 9 months

Gender

  

p = 0.49

  

Male

542 (40.2%)

1

 

94%

86%

Female

808 (59.8%)

0.9 (0.67, 1.21)

 

94%

87%

Age group (years)

  

p = 0.14

  

18 to 29

325 (24%)

1

 

95%

91%

30 to 34

314 (23.3%)

1.36 (86.7, 2.14)

 

96%

88%

35 to 39

288 (21.3%)

1.77 (1.14, 2.74)

 

92%

86%

40 to 49

307 (22.7%)

1.31 (0.83, 2.08)

 

94%

89%

50 to 70

116 (8.6%)

1.44 (0.79, 2.63)

 

94%

86%

CD4 count (per μL) (n = 1257)

  

p < 0.0001

  

0 to 49

473 (37.6%)

1

 

87%

79%

50 to 99

241 (19.2%)

0.37 (0.23, 0.58)

 

97%

92%

100 to 200

414 (32.9%)

0.28 (0.18, 0.42)

 

98%

94%

> 200

129 (10.3%)

0.21 (0.10, 0.45)

 

97%

95%

Viral load (log 10 copies/mL) (n = 1187)

  

p < 0.0001

  

<4

134 (11.3%)

0.30 (0.15, 0.60)

 

98%

94%

4 to 5

520 (43.8%)

0.47 (0.34, 0.66)

 

97%

92%

>5

533 (44.9%)

1

 

90%

82%

Haemoglobin (g/mL) (n = 1206)*

  

p < 0.0001

  

<8

105 (8.7%)

3.24 (2.12, 4.94)

 

79%

66%

8.1 - 9.9

207 (17.2%)

1.94 (1.32, 2.86)

 

87%

79%

10 - 11.9 (12.9 for men)

453 (37.6%)

1

 

96%

89%

>11.9 (>12.9 for men)

441 (36.5%)

0.38 (0.24, 0.63)

 

99%

96%

Body mass index (kg/m 2 ) (n = 854)

  

p < 0.0001

  

<18.5

207 (24.2%)

2.05 (1.41, 2.96)

 

88%

78%

18.5 to 25

471 (55.1%)

1

 

95%

88%

>25

176 (20.6%)

0.67 (0.38, 1.16)

 

99%

93%

previous tuberculosis diagnosis

  

p = 0.12

  

Yes

314 (23.3%)

1.3 (0.94, 1.81)

 

94%

86%

No

1036 (76.7%)

1

 

94%

89%

previous tuberculosis preventive therapy

     

Yes

30 (2.2%)

0.86 (0.31, 2.35)

p = 0.77

93%

93%

No

1320 (97.8%)

1

 

94%

88%

Treatment combination

  

p = 0.41

  

Stavudine/lamivudine/nevirapine

562 (41.6%)

1

 

94%

89%

Stavudine/lamivudine/efavirenz

672 (49.8%)

0.91 (0.67, 1.24)

 

93%

88%

Zidovudine/lamivudine/efavirenz

55 (4.1%)

1.18 (0.57, 2.47)

 

98%

87%

Other

61 (4.5%)

0.52 (0.21, 1.29)

 

98%

91%

  1. CI - Confidence Interval.
  2. * Evidence against proportional hazards, p - value for interaction with follow-up time = 0.0002. Unadjusted hazard ratios (95% CI) in the first 3 months of ART for participants with haemoglobin <8, 8.1-9.9 and >11.9(f)/12.9 (m) g/mL were 3.24 (2.12, 4.94), 1.94 (1.32, 2.86) and 0.38 (0.24, 0.63) respectively comparing to 10-11.9 (f)/12.9 (m)g/mL, and for greater than 3 months of ART 2.02 (1.09, 3.74), 1.34 (0.77, 2.31), and 0.52 (0.31, 0.89), respectively.