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Table 2 Simulated characteristics of baseline (no-intervention) epidemics for R0 values

From: Analysis of the effectiveness of interventions used during the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic

 

R0

 

1.4

1.5

1.6

Characteristics

Mean

S.D.

Mean

S.D.

Mean

S.D.

Final Infection Rate (%)

36.3

1.32

43.9

1.09

50.4

1.02

Final Attack Rate (%)

26.9

0.95

32.5

0.77

37.2

0.74

Peak Symptomatic Population (%)

4.45

0.49

6.6

0.46

8.74

0.51

Peak Daily incidence Rate (per 10000)

82

8

121

9

159

10

Peak Attack Day

51

7.7

45

4.74

40

4.48

Serial Interval

2.49

0.01

2.47

0.01

2.45

0.01

  1. Means and standard deviations (S.D.) are for 40 simulation runs, each with stochastic choices made with different random-number sequences.