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Table 4 Trends in HIV prevalence by selected socio-demographic characteristics in rural and urban areas of Zambia, results of multivariate logistic regression and chi square tests for linear trend, 1995–2003: Age group 15–49 years

From: Steep HIV prevalence declines among young people in selected Zambian communities: population-based observations (1995–2003)

   

Males

Females

   

Adjusted Odds Ratio(95%CI): reference time, 1995

 

§MH χ2 for Linear trend, 1995–2003:

Adjusted Odds Ratio(95%CI): reference time, 1995

 

§MH χ2 for Linear trend, 1995–2003:

   

1999

2003

P value

1999

2003

P value

R

Education (~age)

       
  

0–7 years

0.93(0.62–1.34)

0.72(0.47–1.09)

0.227

1.07(0.57–2.01)

1.03(0.62–1.72)

0.838

U

 

8–9 years

0.74(0.29–1.88)

0.84(0.28–2.46)

0.731

0.52(0.24–1.13)

0.50(0.22–1.14)

0.104

  

≥10 years

0.38(0.15–0.98)

0.44(0.22–0.87)

0.223

0.33(0.17–0.65)

0.29(0.08–0.96)

0.043

R

Marital status

Single

1.48(0.76–2.86)

0.50(0.22–1.12)

0.188

0.74(0.23–2.4)

0.31(0.06–1.49)

0.021

  

Married

0.66(0.38–1.15)

0.63(0.42–0.96)

0.096

0.91(0.53–1.57)

0.82(0.49–1.37)

0.112

A

Employed

Yes

0.66(0.42–1.03

0.76(0.48–1.21

0.914

0.81(0.21–3.15)

0.73(0.22–2.42)

0.479

  

No

1.03(0.57–1.84)

0.55(0.34–0.89)

0.026

0.82(0.48–1.38)

0.78(0.47–1.31)

0.055

 

Travels

Never

0.99(0.52–1.91)

1.36(0.86–2.16)

0.180

0.93(0.54–1.60

1.09(0.70–1.71)

0.644

L

 

Sometimes

0.66(0.44–0.98)

0.43(0.27–0.70)

0.019

0.76(0.33–1.71)

0.59(0.31–1.10)

0.024

  

Often

0.76(0.21–2.75)

0.62(0.19–1.94)

0.563

0.92(0.23–3.67)

0.44(0.07–2.89)

0.051

 

Duration lived

<1 year

0.25(.10–0.63)

0.63(0.22–1.81

0.733

0.57(0.33–0.99)

0.79(0.35–1.82)

0.199

 

(In current residence)

1–5 yrs

0.74(0.36–1.52)

0.57(0.26–1.28)

0.069

1.79(0.88–3.62)

1.41(0.74–2.69)

0.234

  

≥6 yrs

1.24(0.76–2.03)

0.95(0.60–1.51)

0.937

0.45(0.23–0.89)

0.48(0.26–0.88)

0.011

 

Migration

Village

0.72(0.43–1.22)

0.99(0.51–1.94)

0.922

1.12(0.58–2.16)

1.04(0.55–1.97)

0.840

 

(origin 5 years)

Town

0.48(0.22–0.98)

0.30(0.13–0.72)

0.041

1.75(0.99–3.01)

1.31(0.75–2.32)

0.586

 

Given birth

Yes

--

--

 

0.75(0.42–1.34)

0.58(0.30–1.11)

0.019

 

(ever): age, 15–29

No

--

--

 

0.56(0.23–1.33)

0.27(0.07–0.99)

0.012

U

Education (~age)

       
  

0–7 years

1.66(0.80–3.42)

1.34(0.72–2.49)

0.398

0.83(0.59–1.16)

1.11(0.71–1.76)

0.498

R

 

8–9 years

0.42(0.14–1.26)

0.52(0.26–1.06)

0.305

1.10(0.76–1.61)

0.66(0.39–1.08)

0.179

  

≥10 years

1.03(0.72–1.49)

0.55(0.40–0.74)

0.001*

0.91(0.61–1.34)

0.53(0.39–0.72)

0.001*

B

Marital status

Single

0.95(0.62–1.46)

0.51(0.33–0.79)

0.001*

1.05(0.69–1.58)

0.49(0.35–0.69)

0.001*

  

Married

1.04(0.72–1.52)

0.71(0.47–0.98)

0.035

0.92(0.74–1.14)

0.73(0.57–0.94)

0.002

A

Employed

Yes

0.97(0.69–1.36)

0.64(0.44–0.95)

0.001

0.98(0.67–1.41)

0.69(0.51–0.95)

0.018

  

No

0.99(0.60–1.64)

0.52(0.37–0.74)

0.001*

0.93(0.76–1.15)

0.63(0.47–0.85)

0.001*

N

Travels

Never

0.81(0.57–1.16)

0.57(0.32–1.02)

0.001

0.88(0.70–1.11)

0.64(0.49–0.83)

0.003

  

Sometimes

1.14(0.86–1.49)

0.52(0.34–0.81)

0.001*

1.06(0.84–1.35)

0.71(0.52–0.97)

0.008

  

Often

1.11(0.55–2.21)

0.80(0.38–1.70)

0.189

0.77(0.23–2.59)

0.44(0.23–0.82)

0.002

 

Duration lived

<1 year

1.62(0.83–3.19)

0.47(0.28–0.76)

0.052

0.83(0.54–1.27)

0.66(0.45–0.97)

0.196

 

(In current residence)

1–5 yrs

0.85(0.54–1.35)

0.71(0.47–1.09)

0.007

0.83(0.59–1.16)

0.56(0.40–0.79)

0.001*

  

≥6 yrs

0.90(0.56–1.46)

0.53(0.29–0.99)

0.001*

1.31(0.95–1.81)

0.86(0.57–1.33)

0.129

 

Migration

Village

1.01(0.39–2.59)

0.39(0.09–1.54)

0.314

0.98(0.42–2.32)

0.93(0.42–2.09)

0.651

 

(origin 5 years)

Town

1.03(0.63–1.68)

0.69(0.49–0.96)

0.001

0.83(0.64–1.06)

0.58(0.45–0.74)

0.001*

 

Given birth

Yes

--

--

 

0.73(0.63–0.35)

0.51(0.38–0.67)

0.001*

 

(ever): age, 15–29

No

--

--

 

0.87(0.64–1.19)

0.52(0.35–0.75)

0.042

  1. Notes: 1. § MH denotes Mantel-Haenszel chi square for linear trend, (1 degree of freedom) with continuity correction and statistically significant trends are highlighted in bold b) *signifies P < 0.001 2. Variables included in the model per strata were age group, marital status, employment, religion, travel patterns, duration lived in current residence, migration origin in last five years and ever given birth for females 3. The effect of education was significantly different between age groups (interaction P = 0.021 in 1995, P < 0.001 in 1999&2003), hence the "age*education" interaction term included in the models. 4. Samples size in 1995, 1999 and 2003 and were 3013, 3506 and 4466 respectively