Forecast analysis of the incidence of tuberculosis in the province of Quebec

BMC Public Health

Table 1 Definitions and values of parameters

Symbol	Meaning	Typical value	Source
b	Birth/immigration rate	0.03/person/year	[11]
μ	Death rate	0.007/person/year	[11]
β	Transmission Parameter	5/person/year	Fitting
q	Proportion of exposed immigrants	0.01	[2]
α	Probability of infectiousness	0.1	[5]
K	Rate of progression	0.05/person/year	[6], [12]
γ₁	Rate of recovery (latent)	0.22/person/year	[5]
γ₂	Rate of recovery (infectious)	0.87/person/year	[5], [2]

Greek letter parameters were subject to a sensitivity analysis varying them by up to 25%.

ISSN: 1471-2458