Table 2 Predicted annual reductions in incidence, mortality and health service savings (€000) of 4 diseases due to reductions of 3%, 15%, 35% in smoking; Base year = 2005
From: An analysis of the economic impact of smoking cessation in Europe
| Â | 3% Reduction in smoking | 15% Reduction in smoking | 35% Reduction in smoking | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Â | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
Netherlands | Â | Â | Â | ||||||
 Incidence | 342 | 590 | 759 | 1709 | 2951 | 3802 | 3989 | 6894 | 8914 |
 Mortality | 38 | 210 | 329 | 184 | 1044 | 1653 | 429 | 2438 | 3872 |
 Saving (€000) | 2069 | 10147 | 16342 | 10344 | 50754 | 81884 | 24138 | 118458 | 191712 |
Austria | Â | Â | Â | ||||||
 Incidence | 412 | 446 | 497 | 2066 | 2241 | 2497 | 4839 | 5276 | 5896 |
 Mortality | 15 | 71 | 107 | 76 | 354 | 545 | 174 | 829 | 1282 |
 Saving (€000) | 3025 | 10273 | 14620 | 15131 | 51540 | 73517 | 35342 | 120948 | 173168 |
France | Â | Â | Â | ||||||
 Incidence | 298 | 684 | 929 | 1494 | 3412 | 4649 | 3484 | 7931 | 10868 |
 Mortality | 63 | 415 | 616 | 318 | 2067 | 3079 | 738 | 4800 | 7199 |
 Saving (€000) | 4729 | 24193 | 44981 | 23949 | 120864 | 224911 | 55855 | 281527 | 524636 |
Germany | Â | Â | Â | ||||||
 Incidence | 602 | 1681 | 2333 | 3005 | 8401 | 11695 | 7008 | 19571 | 27403 |
 Mortality | 156 | 898 | 1364 | 770 | 4488 | 6835 | 1791 | 10455 | 16013 |
 Saving (€000) | 1133 | 5110 | 9378 | 5667 | 25539 | 46951 | 13214 | 59503 | 109802 |
Ireland | Â | Â | Â | ||||||
 Incidence | 68 | 132 | 186 | 339 | 659 | 943 | 790 | 1537 | 2207 |
 Mortality | 9 | 45 | 74 | 39 | 222 | 377 | 89 | 520 | 881 |
 Saving(€000) | 410 | 2405 | 4647 | 2047 | 12031 | 23295 | 4780 | 28095 | 54563 |
Poland | Â | Â | Â | ||||||
 Incidence | 1069 | 1626 | 1971 | 5359 | 8129 | 9899 | 12509 | 18982 | 23252 |
 Mortality | 122 | 552 | 764 | 609 | 2769 | 3835 | 1419 | 6468 | 9011 |
 Saving (€000) | 5734 | 27445 | 43154 | 28683 | 137299 | 216436 | 66975 | 320545 | 507479 |
Portugal | Â | Â | Â | ||||||
 Incidence | 99 | 214 | 297 | 502 | 1067 | 1494 | 1174 | 2487 | 3497 |
 Mortality | 10 | 55 | 90 | 50 | 262 | 459 | 117 | 615 | 1074 |
 Saving (€000) | 597 | 4592 | 8960 | 2995 | 22931 | 44852 | 6981 | 53367 | 104799 |
Romania | Â | Â | Â | ||||||
 Incidence | 656 | 799 | 848 | 3282 | 4005 | 4238 | 7666 | 9364 | 9926 |
 Mortality | 7 | 40 | 73 | 41 | 198 | 366 | 98 | 462 | 859 |
 Saving (€000) | 779 | 2546 | 3876 | 3894 | 12821 | 19395 | 9090 | 29941 | 45350 |
Switzerland | Â | Â | Â | ||||||
 Incidence | 28 | 56 | 47 | 139 | 276 | 228 | 327 | 639 | 532 |
 Mortality | 2 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 49 | 71 | 23 | 113 | 166 |
 Saving (€000) | 296 | 2414 | 3281 | 1479 | 12023 | 16417 | 3444 | 27810 | 38391 |
UK | Â | Â | Â | ||||||
 Incidence | 1218 | 1799 | 2237 | 6091 | 9013 | 11220 | 14218 | 21058 | 26330 |
 Mortality | 264 | 960 | 1369 | 1328 | 4806 | 6883 | 3100 | 11288 | 16175 |
 Saving (€000) | 9865 | 30532 | 40528 | 49280 | 152744 | 203185 | 115008 | 356837 | 476219 |