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Table 3 Aortic aneurysm and dissection trends and Joinpoint Regression Analysis a by cause-of-death, sex and site, State of São Paulo, 1985 to 2009

From: Trends in aortic aneurysm- and dissection-related mortality in the state of São Paulo, Brazil, 1985–2009: multiple-cause-of-death analysis

Aortic aneurysm and dissection variables

Global 1985-2009

Trend 1

Trend 2

 

Ratesb

APC

CI

Years

APC

CI

Years

APC

CI

CAUSES OF DEATH

Causes of death (refer to Figure 1A )

         

All mentions

6.58

2.1c

1.7 to 2.5

1985-2001

3.3c

2.9-to 3.7

2001-2009

−0.3

−1.0 to 0.5

Underlying cause-of-death

5.53

2.0c

1.6 to 2.3

1985-1999

3.4c

3.0 to 3.8

1999-2009

0.3

−0.1 to 0.8

Associated cause-of-death

1.05

2.9c

1.8 to 4.0

1985-2002

4.7c

3.5 to 5.9

2002-2009

−1.3

−4.1 to 1.6

Causes of death and sex (refer to Figure 1B )

         

Underlying cause-of-death in men

8.23

1.7c

1.3 to 2.1

1985-1999

3.2c

2.7 to 3.7

1999-2009

−0.1

−0.7 to 0.5

Underlying cause-of-death in women

3.42

2.8c

2.4 to 3.3

1985-2000

4.1c

3.2 to 5.0

2000-2009

1.1

−0.1 to 2.3

Associated cause-of-death in men

1.71

2.8c

1.9 to 3.7

1985-2002

4.8c

3.5 to 6.1

2002-2009

−2.1

−5.3 to 1.1

Associated cause-of-death in women

0.56

3.7c

2.8 to 4.6

1985-2009

3.7c

2.8 to 4.6

   

AORTIC ANEURYSM AND DISSECTION SITES – ALL MENTIONS

Total mentions (refer to Figure 2A )

         

Dissecting

2.09

1.3c

0.8 to 1.8

1985-2003

2.1c

1.4 to 2.8

2003-2009

−2.0

−4.5 to 0.6

Abdominal

1.96

2.4c

1.8 to 3.0

1985-2001

3.9c

3.0 to 4.8

2001-2009

−0.4

−2.0 to 1.2

Unspecified site

1.63

1.0c

0.3 to 1.7

1985-1996

4.5c

2.8 to 6.2

1996-2009

−0.9c

−1.9 to 0.0

Thoracic

0.79

4.8c

4.1 to 5.5

1985-2009

4.8c

4.1 to 5.5

   

Total mentions in men (refer to Figure 2B )

         

Abdominal

3.55

2.4c

1.8 to 3.0

1985-2001

4.0c

3.1 to 4.9

2001-2009

−0.6

−2.2 to 1.1

Dissecting

2.78

0.8c

0.3 to 1.4

1985-2003

1.7c

0.9 to 2.6

2003-2009

−2.6

−5.8 to 0.8

Unspecified site

2.43

0.7c

0.1 to 1.5

1985-1996

4.5c

2.5 to 6.6

1996-2009

−1.5c

−2.6 to 0.3

Thoracic

1.03

4.1c

3.2 to 5.0

1985-2009

4.1c

3.2 to 5.0

   

Total mentions in women (refer to Figure 2C )

         

Dissecting

1.51

2.0c

1.4 to 2.6

1985-2004

2.9c

2.1 to 3.7

2004-2009

−2.2

−6.0 to 1.9

Unspecified site

1.01

1.9c

1.2 to 2.6

1985-1997

4.4c

2.3 to 6.6

1997-2009

0.3

−1.1 to 1.6

Abdominal

0.79

3.2c

2.4 to 3.9

1985-2009

3.2c

2.4 to 3.9

   

Thoracic

0.59

5.8c

5.8 to 6.6

1985-2009

5.8c

5.0 to 6.6

   

REFERENCE OF RUPTURE - ALL MENTIONS (refer to Figure 3)

Ruptured

2.65

3.1c

2.1 to 4.1

1985-1997

8.4c

6.7 to 10.1

1997-2009

0.0

−0.9 to 1.0

Without rupture

1.84

1.5c

0.7 to 2.3

1985-2009

1.5c

0.7 to 2.2

   
  1. APC: Annual percent change; CI: confidence interval.
  2. a Rates are per 100 000 population, age-standardized to the WHO Standard Population.
  3. b Joinpoint analysis of trends allowed for one joinpoint.
  4. c The annual percent change is statistically significantly different from 0 (p < 0.05).