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Table 8 APYL per person at age 40 by geographic region for selected risk factor scenarios

From: The effect of modifiable risk factors on geographic mortality differentials: a modelling study

 

Major city

Inner regional

Outer regional/remote

Males

Years (95% CI)

Years (95% CI)

Years (95% CI)

Baseline

29.4 (29.1, 29.8)

27.9 (27.6, 28.3)

27.0 (26.7, 27.8)

Total cholesterol < 5.5

31.9 (31.4, 32.5)

30.5 (29.7, 31.3)

30.0 (29.2, 31.3)

SBP < 140

31.6 (31.0, 32.1)

29.8 (29.2, 30.7)

29.4 (28.9, 30.6)

No smoking

30.4 (30.1, 30.8)

29.0 (28.6, 29.4)

28.6 (28.2, 29.4)

1-3 combined

35.7 (34.7, 36.6)

33.9 (32.9, 35.4)

34.4 (32.8, 36.5)

Females

Years (95% CI)

Years (95% CI)

Years (95% CI)

Baseline

32.9 (32.3, 33.5)

31.5 (30.7, 32.2)

31.1 (30.4, 32.0)

Total cholesterol < 5.5

35.4 (34.5, 36.5)

33.9 (32.7, 35.6)

34.1 (32.9, 35.3)

SBP < 140

35.4 (34.5, 36.5)

33.8 (32.4, 34.9)

33.6 (32.3, 35.3)

No smoking

33.8 (33.3, 34.7)

32.6 (32.1, 33.3)

32.6 (31.9, 33.4)

1-3 combined

39.3 (38.0, 40.7)

37.5 (36.2, 39.4)

38.2 (36.2, 40.4)

Difference from baseline

   

Males

Years (95% CI)

Years (95% CI)

Years (95% CI)

Total cholesterol < 5.5

2.5 (1.8, 3.2)

2.6 (1.7, 3.5)

3.0 (1.7, 4.2)

SBP < 140

2.2 (1.5, 2.9)

1.9 (1.0, 2.7)

2.4 (1.3, 3.4)

No smoking

1.0 (0.5, 1.5)

1.1 (0.6, 1.7)

1.5 (0.7, 2.3)

1-3 combined

6.3 (5.2, 7.3)

6.0 (4.6, 7.3)

7.3 (5.4, 9.3)

Females

Years (95% CI)

Years (95% CI)

Years (95% CI)

Total cholesterol < 5.5

2.6 (1.4, 3.7)

2.4 (0.8, 4.1)

3.0 (1.5, 4.5)

SBP < 140

2.5 (1.3, 3.7)

2.3 (0.9, 3.7)

2.5 (0.8, 4.2)

No smoking

1.0 (0.0, 1.9)

1.1 (0.2, 2.1)

1.5 (0.4, 2.6)

1-3 combined

6.4 (5.0, 7.9)

6.1 (4.4, 7.8)

7.1 (4.8, 9.3)

  1. Note: Age standardised APYL calculated using Major City population as the standard population