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Table 1 Simulation results, using ONCHOSIM. Cells are based on 100 simulations each. Each cell shows number of eliminations obtained with a macrofilaricide/number of eliminations obtained with ivermectin.

From: Macrofilaricides and onchocerciasis control, mathematical modelling of the prospects for elimination

Coverage (percentage of individuals actual getting treatment during mass treatment)

Monthly Biting Rate

Number of successful eliminations macrofilaricide/ivermectin per 100 simulations

  

Scenario 1 ('OCP')

Scenario2 ('APOC')

Scenario3 (no previous intervention)

50%

1200

100/100

97/42

64/0

50%

2400

78/23

0/0

0/0

50%

3600

1/0

0/0

0/0

75%

1200

100/100

100/100

100/97

75%

2400

100/100

98/0

68/0

75%

3600

100/98

28/0

9/0